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Thailand power markets long-term full report 2015

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17 December 2015

Thailand power markets long-term full report 2015

Report summary

In 2015, Thailand introduced a set of long-term energy plans, collectively known as Thailand Integrated Energy Blueprint. This is the first coordinated energy plan across different government agencies, PTT and EGAT. The focus is to develop a consistent set of strategies for Thailand's future energy needs. Target goals from the Energy Efficiency Plan and Alternative Energy Development Plan are integrated as inputs to the Power Development Plan (PDP) prepared by EGAT. Key messages: PDP 2015-2036 highlights Power imports from Laos increase Risk of power shortages in South Thailand grows

Table of contents

    • PDP 2015-2036 highlights
    • Power imports from Laos increase
    • Risk of power shortages in South Thailand grows
    • Data summary
  • Economic outlook
    • Energy policy
      • Key Offices
      • Policy drivers
      • Competition
      • Fuel mix
      • Renewables
      • Pricing
    • Key players
    • Power Market Regulation
      • Generation
      • Transmission
      • Distribution and Retail
      • Regulations
    • Capacity & reserve margin
      • Available capacity and reserve margin
      • Central Thailand
      • South Thailand
      • North Thailand
      • North East Thailand
      • Laos
      • Other imports
    • Breakeven cost by technology
    • New-build economics
      • New-build economics by technology
      • Screening curves
      • Sensitivity on gas breakeven prices by technology
    • Short run marginal cost analysis
    • Thailand power transmission infrastructure
    • Power infrastructure - current
    • Infrastructure – planned & possible
    • Power infrastructure maps
    • Power demand
      • Thailand GDP growth and power sales
    • Annual generation forecast
    • Plant utilisation (capacity factor)
    • Transmission utilisation across regions
      • Intra-regional flows
    • Captive power
      • Captive Power Demand by Region
    • End-user tariffs
    • Average Annual System Short-run Cost
    • Breakeven Cost Forecast
    • GDP sensitivity on gas demand
    • Power seasonality
      • Seasonality and gas demand swing

Tables and charts

This report includes 39 images and tables including:

  • GDP Forecast - Thailand
  • Thailand power available capacity
  • Thailand power market balance
  • Thailand gas demand by sector
  • Key changes to analysis from 2014 publication:
  • Thailand’s energy policy and regulatory structure
  • Breakeven Cost (LRMC) Based on Technology (2020 prices)
  • Thailand 2020 merit order
  • Thailand 2030 merit order
  • Thailand Power Infrastructure
  • Central Thailand & Bangkok Power Infrastructure
  • Thailand grid generation by fuel used (TWh)
  • Thailand grid generation by fuel used (%)
  • Annual capacity factor by plant type (% utilisation)
  • Power transmission capacity across regions
  • Thailand average power tariff (Thai Baht and US$)
  • Average annual short term generation costs by system and plant type
  • Average end-user power breakeven cost
  • GDP growth assumptions for high and low case
  • Power demand sensitivity on gas
  • Coal growth assumptions for high and low case
  • Coal demand sensitivity on gas in the power sector
  • Annual Shape of Power Demand
  • Annual Shape of Hydro and Gas Demand
  • Major Energy Legislation
  • Thailand power market value chain
  • Existing and planned capacity with peak load
  • Thailand capacity by plant type and reserve margin
  • Reserve margin by region
  • Available capacity by region
  • New plant economics by technology (LRMC) for new-build using real levelised 2012 prices
  • Power sales growth, GDP growth & electricity intensity
  • Power sales by region
  • Thailand import and intra-regional power transfers
  • Power transmission utilisation across regions
  • Thailand captive power sales by region
  • Thailand captive power by plant type (2014*)
  • Projected hydro shape
  • Projected gas shape

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Thailand Power Data.xls

    XLS 1.00 MB

  • Document

    Thailand power markets long-term full report 2015

    PDF 1.04 MB

  • Document

    Thailand power markets long-term full report 2015

    ZIP 1.30 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 107.74 KB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 57.04 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 282.19 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 127.44 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 190.62 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 465.55 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 102.97 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 134.93 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 107.82 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 105.52 KB

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