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US Decarbonization gains at risk?: ERCOT Power & Renewables long-term outlook H1 2017 No Carbon case

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25 July 2017

US Decarbonization gains at risk?: ERCOT Power & Renewables long-term outlook H1 2017 No Carbon case

Report summary

In spite of the current US presidential administration’s policies on Climate Change and Carbon regulations, Wood Mackenzie’s H1 2017 Base Case still represented an assumption of long-term carbon reduction policy consistent with the global Wood Mackenzie view. However, our Carbon Policy case is one of many possible futures that might unfold to accelerate long-term decarbonization. Yet there is still some uncertainty around current political rhetoric and if this can deter further decarbonization efforts. A future without any US federal carbon pricing effectively assumes a world in which Federal climate change efforts are tabled and  power sector carbon emissions are allowed to continue to grow.   In our No Carbon Case, we assume no carbon policy at the Federal level but still maintain state and regional CO2 markets such as California-AB32, RGGI and Canadian initiatives.  The lack of a carbon price has significant impacts on power dispatch, capacity buildout  and power pricing. 

Table of contents

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What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    WoodMac NAPR PowerGlossary.pdf

    PDF 376.00 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS No Carbon Case Capacity Prices ERCOT 7 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 287.60 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS No Carbon Case Coal Retirements ERCOT 7 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 56.75 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS No Carbon Renewable Energy Credit prices ERCOT 7 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 974.70 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS No Carbon Case Delivered Fuel Prices Nominal ERCOT 7 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 503.77 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS No Carbon Case Delivered Fuel Prices Real ERCOT 7 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 511.16 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS No Carbon Case Emission Prices Nominal ERCOT 7 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 122.08 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS No Carbon Case Emission Prices Real ERCOT 7 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 122.07 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS No Carbon Case Emissions ERCOT 7 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 152.79 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS No Carbon Case Load Forecast ERCOT 7 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 2.58 MB

  • Document

    NAPRS No Carbon Case Macroeconomics ERCOT 7 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 115.85 KB

  • Document

    NAPRS No Carbon Case Prices Sparks IHR Darks Nominal ERCOT 7 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 3.83 MB

  • Document

    NAPRS No Carbon Case Prices Sparks IHR Darks Real ERCOT 7 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 5.56 MB

  • Document

    NAPRS No Carbon Case Supply Demand Energy ERCOT 7 15 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 689.02 KB

  • Document

    US Decarbonization gains at risk?: ERCOT Power & Renewables long-term outlook H1 2017 No Carbon case

    ZIP 11.20 MB

  • Document

    naprs no carbon case july 2017 pr.pdf

    PDF 689.46 KB