Commodity market report

Vietnam power and renewable markets long-term outlook 2017

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Report summary

Vietnam's power industry is in the midst of restructuring and market liberalisation reforms. The state owned electricity utility EVN currently operates across the generation transmission and distribution sector through its various subsidiaries. The government plans to divest EVN's stake in its generation subsidiaries to 51% over time. Key topics covered in this report: Implementation agreements concluded for Nghi Son 2 and Vung Ang 2 coal fired BOT projects Vietnam switches from coal to gas for the next stage of power capacity growth Solar feed in tariffs (finally) approved Liberalisation status update for the power market and impending IPOs for EVN Genco 3 and PV Power

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Vietnam Power Data.xls

    XLS 1.08 MB

  • Document

    Vietnam power and renewable markets outlook 2017

    PDF 1.93 MB

  • Document

    Vietnam power and renewable markets outlook 2017

    ZIP 2.19 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 1.11 MB

  • Document

    Economic outlook

    PDF 56.12 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 257.13 KB

  • Document

    Environmental policy and renewables

    PDF 115.82 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 142.12 KB

  • Document

    Supply

    PDF 123.82 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 100.60 KB

  • Document

    Supply-demand balances

    PDF 129.57 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 293.75 KB

  • Document

    Costs

    PDF 183.70 KB

  • Document

    Prices

    PDF 109.50 KB

  • Document

    Risks and uncertainties

    PDF 105.67 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Economic outlook
  • Policy and regulation
  • Environmental policy & renewables
  • Market structure
  • Supply
  • Demand
  • Supply-demand balances
  • Infrastructure
  • Costs
  • Prices
  • Risks and uncertainties

Tables and charts

This report includes 47 images and tables including:

Images

  • GDP forecast: Vietnam
  • Executive summary: Image 1
  • Vietnam's energy policy and regulatory structure
  • Capacity: renewables vs non-renewables
  • Environmental policy & renewables: Image 2
  • Capacity: renewables by fuel
  • Environmental policy & renewables: Image 4
  • Vietnam power market value chain
  • Vietnam grid generation by fuel used (TWh)
  • Vietnam grid generation by fuel used (%)
  • Annual capacity factor by plant type (% utilisation)
  • Breakeven cost (LRMC) based on technology (2020 prices)
  • Vietnam 2020 merit order
  • Vietnam 2025 merit order
  • EVN regulated retail prices in VND per kWh
  • EVN average retail prices in VND and US$ per MWh
  • Average annual short-term generation costs by system and plant type
  • Average end-user power breakeven cost
  • GDP growth assumptions for high and low case
  • Power demand sensitivity on gas
  • Annual shape: rainfall, hydro and power demand
  • Risks and uncertainties: Image 6
  • Environmental policy & renewables: Image 5
  • Emissions in the power sector
  • Contribution of gas and coal in the power sector
  • Existing and planned capacity with peak load
  • Vietnam capacity by plant type and reserve margin
  • Power sales growth, GDP growth & electricity intensity
  • Power sales by region
  • Vietnam import and intra-regional power transfers
  • Power transmission utilisation across regions
  • Coal demand in power (bbtud)
  • Gas demand in power (bbtud)
  • North Vietnam electricity infrastructure
  • Central Vietnam electricity infrastructure
  • South Vietnam electricity infrastructure
  • Coal growth assumptions for high and low case
  • Coal demand sensitivity on gas in the power sector
  • Projected hydro shape
  • Projected gas shape
  • Reserve margin by region
  • Available capacity by region

Tables

  • Key changes to analysis from 2016 publication
  • Feed-in-tariffs (2017, US¢/kWh)
  • Power transmission capacity across regions
  • Major energy legislation
  • New plant economics by technology (LRMC) for new-build

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