Commodity Market Report

Winter loosens its grip: North America power and renewables short term outlook January 2018

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Report summary

After the first two weeks of 2018 offered a stronger start for demand, it has proved more normal since then as temperatures improved the last several weeks in January.  Gains in power demand the last part of January and into February have been more muted versus same time last year.  Still, with any year on year demand losses limited mostly to the WECC, eastern markets have seen stronger year on year power demand growth overall. In ERCOT, it appears that the market is beginning to see increasing pricing behavior since the recent round of coal plant retirements began to be implemented, as prices spiked on a number of occasions last month.  Elsewhere, prices began to ease corresponding to the lessening of winter conditions.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    201801 STO Base Case Delivered Fuel Prices Nominal 2 5 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 132.12 KB

  • Document

    201801 STO Base Case Delivered Fuel Prices Real 2 5 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 132.37 KB

  • Document

    201801 STO Base Case Prices Sparks IHR Darks Nominal 2 5 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 1.66 MB

  • Document

    201801 STO Base Case Prices Sparks IHR Darks Real 2 5 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 3.38 MB

  • Document

    201801 STO Base Case Short Term Fundamentals 2 5 2018.xlsx

    XLSX 777.73 KB

  • Document

    Winter loosens its grip: North America power and renewables short term outlook January 2018

    PDF 453.23 KB

  • Document

    Winter loosens its grip: North America power and renewables short term outlook January 2018

    ZIP 6.07 MB

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 5 images and tables including:

Tables

  • Scenario Overview: Table 1

Images

  • Figure 1: Changes in Eastern power market fundamentals (Relative to December 2017 STO)
  • Figure 2: Relative changes in Eastern markets’ power price metrics (Relative to December 2017 STO)
  • Figure 3: Changes in WECC power market fundamentals (Relative to December 2017 STO)
  • Figure 4: Relative changes in WECC markets’ power price metrics (Relative to December 2017 STO)

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