Commodity Market Report

Winter storms in: Midwest short term outlook December 2017

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Report summary

With strong winter weather setting into a number of markets this year, generation balances have been sharply higher the first part of 2018 relative to last year. Average demand across New York, New England, and PJM has been more than 15-20 percent higher, respectively. In the South, average demand in some markets has been even more markedly higher.  Higher demand and gas prices have resulted in stronger power pricing to start the year as well. Average daily prices in ERCOT for the first week of the year have averaged approximately 39 $/MWh and 42 $/MWh across SPP. Prices in New England and downstate New York have averaged 170-180 $/MWh. New York Zone A has averaged 111 $/MWh and even Ontario has averaged close to 50 $/MWh. 

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    201712 STO Base Case Delivered Fuel Prices Nominal Midwest 12 28 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 256.81 KB

  • Document

    201712 STO Base Case Delivered Fuel Prices Real Midwest 12 28 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 242.38 KB

  • Document

    201712 STO Base Case Load Forecast Midwest 12 28 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 2.59 MB

  • Document

    201712 STO Base Case Prices Sparks IHR Darks Nominal Midwest 12 28 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 1.06 MB

  • Document

    201712 STO Base Case Prices Sparks IHR Darks Real Midwest 12 28 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 6.63 MB

  • Document

    201712 STO Base Case Short Term Fundamentals Midwest 12 28 2017.xlsx

    XLSX 423.33 KB

  • Document

    Winter storms in: Midwest short term outlook December 2017

    PDF 353.53 KB

  • Document

    Winter storms in: Midwest short term outlook December 2017

    ZIP 7.61 MB

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 5 images and tables including:

Tables

  • Figure 5: North American power generation balances and fuel prices

Images

  • Figure 1: Changes in Eastern power market fundamentals (Relative to October 2017 STO)
  • Figure 2: Relative changes in Eastern markets’ power price metrics (Relative to October 2017 STO)
  • Figure 3: Changes in WECC power market fundamentals (Relative to October 2017 STO)
  • Figure 4: Relative changes in WECC markets’ power price metrics (Relative to October 2017 STO)

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