Commodity Market Report

Czech Republic downstream oil long-term outlook 2016

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10 November 2016

Czech Republic downstream oil long-term outlook 2016

Report summary

The Czech Republic is largely deficit in refined oil products, particularly transport fuels. Overall oil demand is expected to decline over the forecast period, as growing demand for some products such as diesel/gasoil falls short of the structural decline in others, notably gasoline. Unipetrol, now majority owned by PKN ORLEN, gained full control of the Czech Refining Company (CRC) in 2014, following its acquisition of the stakes held by Shell and Eni. We anticipate more consolidation in the market following MOL's purchase of LUKOIL's retail outlets and Eni's downstream businesses in Czech Republic, Slovakia and Romania. In the beginning of 2016 Unipetrol announced the acquisitions of 68 OMV stations. Shell's commitment to the Czech fuels market remains uncertain following the sale of its stake in CRC.

Table of contents

    • Market drivers
    • Outlook
    • Total demand
    • Regulatory issues
    • Product quality
  • Trade
    • Fuels retailing
      • Volumes
    • Overall network development
      • PKN Orlen/ Unipetrol
      • CEPRO
      • International oil companies
      • OMV
      • Shell
      • ENI
      • MOL
      • Independents and hypermarkets
      • Network efficiency
      • Performance pacesetters in the retail market
      • Non-fuel retailing
    • Commercial fuels
      • Motor fuels (gasoline and diesel)
      • Industrial/domestic gas oil
      • Aviation kerosene
      • Heavy fuel oil
      • LPG
      • Lubricants
      • Bitumen
    • Key issues influencing net profitability
      • Retail fuels marketing
    • Marketing gross fuel margins
    • Marketing net profitability
    • Storage and distribution infrastructure

Tables and charts

This report includes 31 images and tables including:

  • Key demand indicators
  • Trade balance 2009 - 2015
  • Trade: Table 1
  • Trade: Table 2
  • Diesel/gasoil - Net importer
  • Fuel oil - Net exporter
  • Key issues influencing gross fuel margins
  • Demand: Image 1
  • Annual demand change
  • Demand by product
  • Demand by sector
  • Car parc by vehicle type
  • Gasoil/diesel demand by sector
  • Fuel oil by sector
  • Demand forecast (kt)
  • Main products: monthly unit gross margins 2010 - 2015
  • Main products: annual average unit gross margins - historic and forecast
  • Forecast unit net margins
  • Infrastructure: Image 1
  • Means of primary distribution
  • Pipeline capacity and ownership
  • Crude input slate - 2015
  • The Litvinov refinery
  • The Kralupy
  • Retail fuel volumes
  • Retail Outlets by Brand
  • Market Shares
  • Network size and throughput per site
  • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
  • Commercial diesel volumes
  • Margins: Table 2

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Czech Republic downstream oil long-term outlook 2016

    PDF 715.48 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 79.38 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 132.52 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 77.42 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 122.91 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 180.93 KB

  • Document

    Margins

    PDF 121.15 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 334.65 KB

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