Commodity market report
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30 Pages

Czech Republic downstream oil long-term outlook 2016


Czech Republic downstream oil long-term outlook 2016

Report summary

The Czech Republic is largely deficit in refined oil products, particularly transport fuels. Overall oil demand is expected to decline over the forecast period, as growing demand for some products such as diesel/gasoil falls short of the structural decline in others, notably gasoline. Unipetrol, now majority owned by PKN ORLEN, gained full control of the Czech Refining Company (CRC) in 2014, following its acquisition of the stakes held by Shell and Eni. We anticipate more consolidation in the market following MOL's purchase of LUKOIL's retail outlets and Eni's downstream businesses in Czech Republic, Slovakia and Romania. In the beginning of 2016 Unipetrol announced the acquisitions of 68 OMV stations. Shell's commitment to the Czech fuels market remains uncertain following the sale of its stake in CRC.

What's included?

This report includes 1 file(s)

  • Czech Republic downstream oil long-term outlook 2016 PDF - 715.48 KB 30 Pages, 13 Tables, 18 Figures

Description

The long-term outlook for the fuels marketing sector is influenced by many factors: oil product demand, the market structure, key companies and downstream infrastructure developments to name a few.

This long-term outlook report provides a country update of demand trends and an assessment of the key players and assets serving the market.

The report is based on in-depth research about oil product demand, individual market participants and assets and helps downstream operators, traders and financial institutions determine product trading strategies, optimise their assets and identify attractive investment opportunities.

With over 20 years of experience in the refining industry, Wood Mackenzie is a trusted global leader with a reputation for producing consistently reliable information. Our senior analysts are based in the markets they analyse. They use detailed research data to forecast, benchmark and recognise trends that will help both new and existing participants identify opportunities and avoid risks.

  • Executive summary
    • Market drivers
    • Outlook
  • Demand
    • Total demand
  • Policy and regulation
    • Regulatory issues
    • Product quality
  • Trade
  • Market structure
    • Fuels retailing
      • Volumes
    • Overall network development
      • PKN Orlen/ Unipetrol
      • CEPRO
      • International oil companies
      • OMV
      • Shell
      • ENI
      • MOL
      • Independents and hypermarkets
      • Network efficiency
      • Performance pacesetters in the retail market
      • Non-fuel retailing
    • Commercial fuels
      • Motor fuels (gasoline and diesel)
      • Industrial/domestic gas oil
      • Aviation kerosene
      • Heavy fuel oil
      • LPG
      • Lubricants
      • Bitumen
  • Margins
    • Key issues influencing net profitability
      • Retail fuels marketing
    • Marketing gross fuel margins
    • Marketing net profitability
  • Infrastructure
    • Storage and distribution infrastructure

In this report there are 31 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
  • Demand
    • Key demand indicators
    • Demand: Image 1
    • Annual demand change
    • Demand by product
    • Demand by sector
    • Car parc by vehicle type
    • Gasoil/diesel demand by sector
    • Fuel oil by sector
    • Demand forecast (kt)
  • Policy and regulation
  • Trade
    • Trade balance 2009 - 2015
    • Trade: Table 1
    • Trade: Table 2
    • Diesel/gasoil - Net importer
    • Fuel oil - Net exporter
  • Market structure
    • Retail fuel volumes
    • Retail Outlets by Brand
    • Market Shares
    • Network size and throughput per site
    • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
    • Commercial diesel volumes
  • Margins
    • Key issues influencing gross fuel margins
    • Margins: Table 2
    • Main products: monthly unit gross margins 2010 - 2015
    • Main products: annual average unit gross margins - historic and forecast
    • Forecast unit net margins
  • Infrastructure
    • Infrastructure: Image 1
    • Means of primary distribution
    • Pipeline capacity and ownership
    • Crude input slate - 2015
    • The Litvinov refinery
    • The Kralupy
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