Commodity Market Report

Denmark downstream oil long-term outlook 2016

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10 November 2016

Denmark downstream oil long-term outlook 2016

Report summary

The Danish downstream oil market is in a period of slow and sustained demand decline which is expected to continue as the government pursues policies to de-carbonise the county's energy supplies. The market itself is relatively constrained with the retail sector being characterised by five players having almost 85% of the market. Shell exited the Danish market in 2016 after divesting its retail network to Alimentation Couche-Tard and its Fredericia refinery to Dansk Olieselskab. KPI is now the only international oil firm with Circle K along with local independents, OK and Uno-X making up the remaining players.  

Table of contents

    • Market drivers
    • Outlook
    • Gasoline
    • Jet/kerosene
    • Fuel oil
    • Regulatory issues
    • Product quality
  • Trade
    • Fuels retailing
      • Volumes
      • Overall network development
      • International oil companies
      • Independent groups
      • Hypermarket fuel outlets
      • Network efficiency
      • Performance pacesetters in the retail market
      • Non-fuel retailing
    • Commercial fuels
      • Motor fuels (gasoline and diesel)
      • Industrial/domestic gas oil
      • Aviation kerosene
      • Heavy fuel oil
      • Marine bunkers
      • LPG
      • Lubricants
      • Bitumen
    • Key issues influencing net profitability
      • Retail fuels marketing
      • Commercial fuels marketing
    • Marketing gross fuel margins
    • Marketing net profitability
    • Storage and distribution infrastructure
    • Storage capacity concentration
    • Crude input slate - 2015

Tables and charts

This report includes 35 images and tables including:

  • Key demand indicators
  • Total demand
  • Annual demand change
  • Demand by product
  • Demand by sector
  • Trade balance 2009 - 2015
  • Key trading countries/regions 2015
  • Trade: Table 1
  • Gasoline - Net exporter
  • Jet/kero - Net importer
  • Diesel/gasoil - Net importer
  • Fuel oil - Net exporter
  • Key issues influencing gross fuel margins
  • Car parc by fuel type
  • Gasoil and diesel demand by sector
  • Fuel oil demand by sector
  • Demand forecast (kt)
  • Main products: monthly unit gross margins 2010 - 2015
  • Main products: annual average unit gross margins
  • Forecast net margins
  • Infrastructure: Image 1
  • Means of primary distribution
  • Infrastructure: Table 1
  • Infrastructure: Table 2
  • Infrastructure: Image 3
  • Fredericia refinery
  • Infrastructure: Table 4
  • Retail fuel volumes
  • Network size and structure
  • Retail outlets by brand
  • Retail market shares
  • Breakdown of outlets by ownership 2014
  • Network size and throughput per site
  • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
  • Commercial diesel volumes

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Denmark downstream oil long-term outlook 2016

    PDF 680.32 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 79.29 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 135.00 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 57.25 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 122.87 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 175.37 KB

  • Document

    Margins

    PDF 121.32 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 309.35 KB

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