Commodity Market Report

France downstream oil long-term outlook

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19 January 2021

France downstream oil long-term outlook

Report summary

France is a mature market in which overall oil demand is in slow but steady decline. Overall, there is a diesel/gasoil deficit in the domestic market relative to its local refinery product output, although it retains a gasoline surplus. Due to successive reductions in the refining system, its product deficit has doubled in a decade. In fuel retail, France remains one of the most competitive markets in Europe with the hypermarkets continuing to exert downward pressure on margins through its discount fuel offering. These companies control around two-thirds of the retail market. Domestic refiner Total has the largest individual network with almost 3,500 sites, nearly double that of any other player. The majority of the other oil majors, however, have now exited the market. This has seen the arrival of specialist independent fuel retailers, which leverage brand licencing agreements and the branded wholesale model.

Table of contents

  • Market drivers
    • Car parc
  • Gasoline
  • Diesel/gasoil
  • Jet kerosene
  • Fuel oil
    • Excise duty and taxes
    • Compulsory stockholding
  • Energy Transition
    • Overall position - net importer
    • Volumes
    • Overall network development
    • Motorway fuel outlets
    • Hypermarket fuel outlets
    • International oil companies
    • Total
    • Independent groups
    • Certas Energy (Esso)
    • EG Group (BP/Esso)
    • AVIA
    • Network efficiency
    • Performance pacesetters in the retail market
    • Non-fuel retailing
    • Motor fuels (gasoline/diesel)
    • Industrial/domestic gasoil
    • Aviation kerosene
    • Heavy fuel oil
    • Marine bunkers
    • LPG
    • Lubricants
    • Bitumen
    • Retail fuels marketing
  • Marketing gross fuel margins
    • LHP (Le Havre Paris)
    • CEPS
    • DMM (Donges - Melun - Metz)
    • SPMR (Société du Pipeline Méditerranée-Rhône)
    • Independent petroleum product storage
    • Rubis Terminals
  • Crude oil delivery
    • Refining overview

Tables and charts

This report includes 39 images and tables including:

  • Key demand indicators
  • Total demand
  • Annual demand change
  • Diesel/gasoil demand by sector
  • Fuel oil demand by sector
  • Demand forecast
  • Trade balance
  • Main products: annual average unit gross margins
  • Storage and distribution infrastrucutre
  • Crude slate
  • Car parc by fuel type
  • TICPE (fuel duty)
  • Key trading partners
  • Gasoline - net exporter
  • Jet/kero - net importer
  • Diesel/gasoil - net importer
  • Fuel oil - net exporter
  • Retail fuel volumes
  • Network size and structure
  • Retail outlets by brand
  • Retail fuel market shares
  • Number of sites and average throughputs
  • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
  • Commercial diesel volumes
  • 95 RON retail price formation (2020 average)
  • Diesel retail price formation (2020 average)
  • TRAPIL shareholders
  • SPMR shareholders
  • Donges refinery
  • Feyzin refinery
  • Fos sur mer refinery
  • Gonfreville refinery
  • Grandpuits refinery
  • Lavera refinery
  • Port-Jerome Gravenchon refinery

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    France downstream oil long-term outlook

    PDF 1.97 MB