Germany downstream oil long-term outlook
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Report summary
We expect moderate growth in German motor fuel demand in 2017 however from 2018 onwards demand will decline. Diesel will decline at a relatively slow rate but the pace of decline will be driven by the continued erosion of gasoline demand. The price sensitivity of the German consumer will continue to benefit discount brands while the integrated majors are likely to continue to focus on further reducing costs, growing retail non-fuel income and building customer loyalty through promotions and incentives. Retail fuel margins look set to remain among the lowest in Europe, with the growth of non-oil income expected to support net profitability and go some way to prevent the need for large scale service station closures.
What's included
This report contains
Table of contents
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Executive summary
- Market drivers
- Outlook
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Demand
- Gasoline
- Jet kerosene
- Gas/diesel oil
- Fuel oil
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Policy and regulation
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Regulatory issues
- 2004
- 2006
- 2007
- 2008
- 2009
- 2010
- 2011
- 2012
- 2015
- 2017
- Product quality
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Regulatory issues
- Trade
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Market structure
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Fuels retailing
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Volumes
- Retail market shares
- Overall network development
- Motorway fuel outlets
- Hypermarket fuel outlets
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International oil companies
- BP (Aral)
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Volumes
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Fuels retailing
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Margins
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Fuels marketing margins
- Commercial fuels marketing
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Marketing gross fuel margins
- Marketing net profitability
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Fuels marketing margins
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Infrastructure
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Distribution of oil products
- RMR GmbH shareholders
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Oil product storage infrastructure
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Independent petroleum product storage
- Independent storage facilities
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Crude oil delivery
- Pipeline capacity and ownership
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North-western pipeline system
- Nord-West Oelleitung GmbH (NWO) shareholders
- N.V. Rotterdam-Rhine Pipeline (RRP) shareholders
- Eastern pipeline system
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Southern pipeline system
- Transalpine Pipeline (TAL) shareholders
- Country crude slate overview
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Refining overview
- Hamburg (Holburn) refinery profile
- Schwedt refinery profile
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Independent petroleum product storage
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Distribution of oil products
Tables and charts
This report includes 50 images and tables including:
Tables
- Key demand indicators
- Trade: Table 1
- Trade: Table 2
- Trade: Table 3
- Trade: Table 4
- Trade: Table 5
- Demand forecast
- Estimated average retail fuels marketing costs in Germany:
- Main products: annual average unit gross margins - historic and forecast
- Infrastructure: Table 2
- Network size and structure
- Market structure: Table 2
- Forecast unit net margins
- Infrastructure: Table 1
- Market structure: Table 3
- Infrastructure: Table 3
- Infrastructure: Table 5
- Infrastructure: Table 6
- Infrastructure: Table 7
- Burghausen refinery profile
- Bayernoil refinery profile
- Gelsenkirchen
- Infrastructure: Table 4
- Infrastructure: Table 11
- Heide
- Gunvor Raffinerie Ingolstadt refinery profile
- Lingen refinery profile
- Leuna (Mider)
- Karlsruhe MiRO
- Rhineland refinery profile
- Infrastructure: Table 18
Images
- Total demand
- Annual demand change
- Demand by product
- Demand by sector
- Trade balance 2009 - 2016
- Gasoline trade
- Jet/Kero trade
- Diesel/Gasoil trade
- Fuel oil trade
- Storage and distribution infrastructure
- Car parc by fuel type
- Gas/diesel oil demand by sector
- Fuel oil demand by sector
- Main products: monthly unit gross margins 2011 - 2016
- Retail fuel volumes
- Market structure: Image 2
- Market structure: Image 3
- Market structure: Image 4
- Crude input slate - 2016
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