Commodity Market Report

Germany downstream oil long-term outlook

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07 April 2020

Germany downstream oil long-term outlook

Report summary

Retail fuel demand in Germany has entered a decline. This will drive continued net closures across the overall retail network. The price sensitivity of the German consumer will continue to benefit discount brands, while the integrated majors remain focused on optimising their portfolios and developing non-fuel divisions. Forming partnerships with specialists in various non-fuel sectors will be key to success in pursuing this strategy. Other considerations include building customer loyalty through promotions and fuel card networks. Retail fuel margins are expected to remain under pressure for the foreseeable future, driven by fuel price information transparency and a high degree of competition amongst operators. The growth of non-fuel segments will play a prominent role in supporting net profitability by diversifying retailers' revenue streams and reducing exposure to falling demand.

Table of contents

  • Market drivers
    • Jet kerosene
    • Diesel/gasoil
    • Excise duty and other taxes
    • Price monitoring and transpar ency
    • Biofuel blending
  • Product quality
  • Overall position - net importer
    • Volumes
    • Overall network development
    • Motorway fuel outlets
    • Hypermarket fuel outlets
    • International oil companies
    • Aral (BP)
    • Shell
    • Total
    • Esso (EG Group)
    • Jet (Phillips 66)
    • Star (PKN ORLEN)
    • Agip (Eni)
    • HEM (Tamoil)
    • OMV
    • Independent groups
    • Network efficiency
    • Performance pacesetters in the retail market
    • Non-fuel retailing
    • Motor fuels (gasoline/diesel)
    • Industrial/domestic gas oil
    • Aviation kerosene
    • Heavy fuel oil
    • Marine bunkers
    • LPG
    • Lubricants
    • Bitumen
    • Retail fuels marketing
    • Commercial fuels marketing
  • Marketing gross fuel margins
    • Mitteldeutsche Produktenleitung (MIPRO)
    • Rostock-Leuna pipeline
    • NATO pipelines
    • Other product pipelines
    • Independent petroleum product storage
    • North-western pipeline system
    • Eastern pipeline system
    • Southern pipeline system
  • Country crude slate overview

Tables and charts

This report includes 45 images and tables including:

  • Key demand indicators
  • Total demand
  • Annual demand change
  • Demand by product
  • Demand by sector
  • Car parc by fuel type
  • Trade balance
  • Key trading partners
  • Gasoline trade - net exporter
  • Diesel/gasoil - net importer
  • Jet/kero trade - net importer
  • Fuel oil - balanced
  • Main products: monthly unit gross margins
  • Annual average gross margins
  • Annual average net margins
  • RMR shareholders
  • Pipeline capacity and ownership
  • Country crude slate
  • Bayernoil refinery
  • Burghausen refinery
  • Gelsenkirhen refinery
  • Hamburg (Holborn) refinery
  • Heide refinery
  • Gunvor raffinerie Ingolstadt
  • Lingen refinery
  • Leuna (Mider) refinery
  • Karlsuhe MiRO refinery
  • Rhineland refinery
  • Schwedt refinery
  • Gas/diesel oil demand by sector
  • Fuel oil demand by sector
  • Demand forecast
  • Retail fuel volumes
  • Network size and structure
  • LPG and CNG retail sites by brand
  • Retail outlets by brand
  • Retail market shares
  • Motorway retail sites by brand
  • Network development and average site throughput
  • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
  • Commercial transport fuel volumes
  • Nord-West Oelleitung (NWO) shareholders
  • N.V. Rotterdam- Rhine Pipeline (RRP) shareholders
  • Transalpine Pipeline (TAL) shareholders

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Germany downstream oil long-term outlook

    PDF 1.11 MB