Commodity Market Report

Greece downstream oil long-term outlook 2016

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10 November 2016

Greece downstream oil long-term outlook 2016

Report summary

Greece remains besieged by economic problems. Despite the economic and fiscal reforms put in place after 2011 to help bring stability in, the financial condition of the country further deteriorated in 2015 following continuous political turbulence and the capital controls imposed on the Greek banking system. The economy is not expected to make any significant recovery until the middle of the next decade. With the outlook for the oil industry tied to the country's economic future, we expect to see a continued decline in oil products demand. Hellenic Petroleum managed to strengthen even more its leading position in the market whereas other companies scaled down. Jetoil-Mamidakis filed for creditors' protection in July 2016. 

Table of contents

    • Market drivers
    • Outlook
    • Key demand indicators
    • Annual demand change
    • Car parc by vehicle type
    • Demand forecast (kt)
    • Regulatory issues
    • Product quality
  • Trade
    • Fuels retailing
      • Volumes
      • Overall network development
      • The Greek integrated refiners
      • Independent groups
      • Hypermarket fuel outlets
      • Network efficiency
      • Performance pacesetters in the retail market
      • Non-fuel retailing
    • Commercial fuels
      • Gasoline and diesel
      • Domestic gas oil
      • Aviation kerosene
      • Inland fuel oil / marine bunkers
      • LPG
      • Bitumen
      • Lubricants
    • Key issues influencing gross fuel margins
    • Forecast unit net margins
    • Storage and distribution infrastructure
    • Storage capacity concentration
    • Crude input slate - 2015

Tables and charts

This report includes 32 images and tables including:

  • Trade balance 2009 - 2015
  • Trade: Table 1
  • Trade: Table 2
  • Demand: Table 1
  • Total demand
  • Demand: Image 2
  • Demand by product
  • Demand by sector
  • Demand: Image 5
  • Gasoil/diesel demand by sector
  • Fuel oil by sector
  • Demand: Table 2
  • Margins: Table 1
  • Main products: monthly unit gross margins 2010- 2015
  • Main products: annual average unit gross margins
  • Margins: Table 3
  • Infrastructure: Image 1
  • Means of primary distribution
  • Infrastructure: Table 1
  • Pipeline capacity and ownership
  • Infrastructure: Image 3
  • Aspropyrgos refinery
  • Elefsis refinery
  • Thessaloniki refinery
  • Corinth refinery
  • Retail fuel volumes
  • Network size and structure
  • Retail outlets by brand
  • Retail market shares
  • Network size and throughput per site
  • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
  • Commercial motor fuel volumes

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Greece downstream oil long-term outlook 2016

    PDF 762.13 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 79.19 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 136.36 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 81.29 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 125.25 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 190.18 KB

  • Document

    Margins

    PDF 119.94 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 366.77 KB

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