Commodity Market Report

Ireland downstream oil long-term outlook

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04 February 2019

Ireland downstream oil long-term outlook

Report summary

Ireland remains a net importer of refined oil products as demand exceeds supply from the country’s refinery at Whitegate. Irving Oil's acquisition of the Tedcastle Group in 2018, including its distribution assets and retail service stations could materially impact the future structure of the retail fuels market. Following the exit of Shell, Statoil and ExxonMobil, there is no international oil major active in the fuels marketing sector, which remains characterised by locally-based independent dealers. Alimentation Couche-tard remains the market leader, supplying over a third of the market. The growth of the price-discount segment, driven by the unmanned sites of GreatGas and the expansion of Applegreen's 'low prices always' brand, represents a risk to fuel margins. The overall structure of the Irish market remains fragmented, characterised by a large number of small, local independent dealers. There remains plenty of scope for further industry consolidation.

Table of contents

    • Market drivers
    • Outlook
    • Gasoline
    • Kerosene
      • Diesel/gasoil demand by sector
    • Fuel oil
    • Regulatory issues
      • Compulsory Stocking Obligation
      • Renewable energy policy
      • Biofuels
      • Incentives for alternative fuels
      • Planning restrictions
    • Overall position - net importer
    • Fuels retailing
      • Volumes
        • Retail market shares
      • Overall network development
      • Motorway Service Stations
      • Hypermarkets
      • Alimentation-Couche Tard (Topaz Energy/Circle K)
      • International oil majors
      • Independent groups
        • Applegreen
        • Maxol
      • Network efficiency
      • Performance Pacesetters in The Retail Market
      • Non-fuel retailing
    • Commercial fuels
      • Motor fuels
      • Industrial and domestic gas oil
      • Aviation kerosene
      • LPG
      • Lubricants
      • Bitumen
    • Key issues influencing gross fuel margins
    • Marketing gross fuel margins
      • Annual gross fuel margins
      • Main products: annual average unit gross margins
    • Marketing net profitability
    • Oil product storage infrastructure
    • Crude oil delivery
    • Country crude slate overview
      • Whitegate refinery profile

Tables and charts

This report includes 33 images and tables including:

  • Key demand indicators
  • Total demand
  • Annual demand change
  • Demand by product
  • Demand by sector
  • Trade balance
  • Storage and distribution infrastructure
  • Car parc by fuel type
  • Fuel oil demand by sector
  • Demand forecast
  • Key trading regions 2017
  • Gasoline - balanced
  • Jet/Kero - net importer
  • Diesel/Gasoil - net importer
  • Fuel oil - net exporter
  • Retail gasoline 95RON E5 price formation 2017
  • Retail diesel price formation 2017
  • Margins: Table 2
  • Infrastructure: Table 1
  • Infrastructure: Table 2
  • Crude input slate
  • Demand: Image 6
  • Biogasoline and biodiesel blending percentages
  • Retail fuel volumes
  • Network size
  • Retail outlets by brand
  • Number of sites and average throughputs
  • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
  • Commercial transport diesel volumes
  • Margins: Image 3
  • Margins: Table 1
  • Infrastructure: Table 3
  • Market structure: Table 3

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Ireland downstream oil long-term outlook

    PDF 1.05 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 680.61 KB

  • Document


    PDF 744.47 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 703.79 KB

  • Document


    PDF 732.51 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 777.81 KB

  • Document


    PDF 788.67 KB

  • Document


    PDF 823.12 KB