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Commodity Market Report

Ireland downstream oil long-term outlook

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03 June 2021

Ireland downstream oil long-term outlook

Report summary

Ireland remains a net importer of refined oil products as demand exceeds supply from the country’s refinery at Whitegate. Irving Oil's acquisition of the Tedcastle Group in 2018, including its distribution assets and retail service stations could materially impact the future structure of the retail fuels market. Following the exit of Shell, Statoil and ExxonMobil, there is no international oil major active in the fuels marketing sector, which remains characterised by locally-based independent dealers. Alimentation Couche-tard remains the market leader, supplying almost a third of the market. The growth of the price-discount segment, driven by the unmanned sites of Certa, GreatGas and the expansion of Applegreen's 'low prices always' brand, represents a risk to fuel margins. The overall structure of the Irish market remains fragmented, characterised by a large number of small, local independent dealers. There remains plenty of scope for further industry consolidation.

Table of contents

  • Market drivers
    • Car parc
    • Diesel/gasoil
    • Jet/kerosene
    • Fuel oil
    • Compulsory stockholding obligation
    • Planning restrictions
    • Product quality
    • Energy transition
    • Biofuels
    • Electromobility
    • Volumes
    • Motorway Service Stations
    • Hypermarkets
    • Alimentation-Couche Tard (Topaz Energy/Circle K)
    • International oil majors
    • Independent groups
    • Applegreen
    • Maxol
    • Greenergy (Inver Energy/Amber Petroleum)
    • Network efficiency
    • Performance Pacesetters in The Retail Market
    • Non-fuel retailing
    • Motor fuels
    • Industrial and domestic gas oil
    • Aviation kerosene
    • LPG
    • Lubricants
    • Bitumen
  • Key issues influencing gross fuel margins
    • Annual gross fuel margins
    • Main products: annual average unit gross margins
    • Distribution of oil products
    • Oil product storage infrastructure

Tables and charts

This report includes 25 images and tables including:

  • Key demand indicators
  • Total demand
  • Annual demand change
  • Demand by product
  • Retail gasoline 95RON E5 price formation 2020
  • Retail diesel price formation 2020
  • Storage and distribution infrastructure
  • Car parc by fuel type
  • Diesel/gasoil demand by sector
  • Fuel oil demand by sector
  • Demand forecast
  • Biogasoline and biodiesel blending percentages
  • Retail fuel volumes
  • Network size
  • Retail outlets by brand
  • Retail market shares
  • Number of sites and average throughputs
  • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
  • Commercial transport diesel volumes
  • Annual gross fuel margins
  • Trade balance
  • Storage and distribution infrastructure
  • Whitegate refinery profile

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Ireland downstream oil long-term outlook

    PDF 1.81 MB