Commodity Market Report

Netherlands downstream oil long-term outlook 2016

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10 November 2016

Netherlands downstream oil long-term outlook 2016

Report summary

The Netherlands is a large net exporter of oil products except fuel oil which has a ready outlet in the sizeable marine bunkers market. BP, ExxonMobil, Shell, Total, LUKOIL and since 2015 Gunvor, each have an interest in one of the five large oil refineries in the Netherlands, which are ideally located for supplying inland demand, the large marine bunkering market and export markets. The retail sector remains relatively dense compared to other western European countries with high prices due to the level of taxation on fuel. Margins are strong and demand remains robust, although we expect a decline through to he end of the forecast period in 2020. Retail market is structured around two distinct segments with increasing number of unmanned sites on one hand and full-service stations with strong non-fuel offering.

Table of contents

    • Market drivers
    • Outlook
    • Gasoline
      • Car parc by vehicle type
    • Jet kerosene
    • Gas/diesel oil
    • Fuel oil
    • Regulatory issues
    • Product quality
  • Trade
    • Fuels retailing
      • Volumes
      • Overall network development
      • Motorway fuel outlets
      • Hypermarket fuel outlets
      • International oil companies
        • Shell
        • Total
        • BP
        • ExxonMobil
        • Kuwait Petroleum
        • Tamoil
        • LUKOIL
      • Independent groups
      • Network efficiency
      • Performance pacesetters in the retail market
      • Non-fuel retailing
    • Key issues influencing gross fuel margins
    • Key issues influencing net profitability
      • Retail fuels marketing
      • Commercial fuels marketing
    • Marketing gross fuel margins
    • Marketing net profitability
    • Storage and distribution infrastructure
    • Storage capacity concentration
    • Independent petroleum product storage
    • Independent storage facilities in Netherlands
    • Crude input slate - 2015

Tables and charts

This report includes 34 images and tables including:

  • Key demand indicators
  • Overall demand
  • Annual demand change
  • Demand by product
  • Demand by sector
  • Trade balance 2009 - 2015
  • Trade: Table 1
  • Trade: Table 2
  • Gasoil/diesel demand by sector
  • Fuel oil demand by sector
  • Demand forecast (kt)
  • Margins: Table 1
  • Main products: monthly unit gross margins 2010 - 2015
  • Main products: annual average unit gross margins
  • Forecast unit net margins
  • Infrastructure: Image 1
  • Infrastructure: Table 1
  • Infrastructure: Table 2
  • Pipeline capacity and ownership
  • Infrastructure: Table 4
  • Infrastructure: Image 2
  • Pernis refinery
  • Raffinaderij Rotterdam refinery
  • Rotterdam (Koch) refinery
  • Rotterdam (Esso) refinery
  • Infrastructure: Table 9
  • Demand: Image 5
  • Retail fuel volumes
  • Network size and structure
  • Retail outlets by brand
  • Market shares
  • Retail network efficiency
  • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
  • Market structure: Image 4

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Netherlands downstream oil long-term outlook 2016

    PDF 735.89 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 79.04 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 138.46 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 79.14 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 114.43 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 172.28 KB

  • Document

    Margins

    PDF 119.06 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 364.17 KB