Commodity market report
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42 Pages

Netherlands downstream oil long-term outlook 2016

Netherlands downstream oil long-term outlook 2016

Report summary

The Netherlands is a large net exporter of oil products except fuel oil which has a ready outlet in the sizeable marine bunkers market. BP, ExxonMobil, Shell, Total, LUKOIL and since 2015 Gunvor, each have an interest in one of the five large oil refineries in the Netherlands, which are ideally located for supplying inland demand, the large marine bunkering market and export markets. The retail sector remains relatively dense compared to other western European countries with high prices due to the level of taxation on fuel. Margins are strong and demand remains robust, although we expect a decline through to he end of the forecast period in 2020. Retail market is structured around two distinct segments with increasing number of unmanned sites on one hand and full-service stations with strong non-fuel offering.

What's included?

This report includes 1 file(s)

  • Netherlands downstream oil long-term outlook 2016 PDF - 735.89 KB 42 Pages, 19 Tables, 15 Figures


The long-term outlook for the fuels marketing sector is influenced by many factors: oil product demand, the market structure, key companies and downstream infrastructure developments to name a few.

This long-term outlook report provides a country update of demand trends and an assessment of the key players and assets serving the market.

The report is based on in-depth research about oil product demand, individual market participants and assets and helps downstream operators, traders and financial institutions determine product trading strategies, optimise their assets and identify attractive investment opportunities.

With over 20 years of experience in the refining industry, Wood Mackenzie is a trusted global leader with a reputation for producing consistently reliable information. Our senior analysts are based in the markets they analyse. They use detailed research data to forecast, benchmark and recognise trends that will help both new and existing participants identify opportunities and avoid risks.

  • Executive summary
    • Market drivers
    • Outlook
  • Demand
    • Gasoline
      • Car parc by vehicle type
    • Jet kerosene
    • Gas/diesel oil
    • Fuel oil
  • Policy and regulation
    • Regulatory issues
    • Product quality
  • Trade
  • Market structure
    • Fuels retailing
      • Volumes
      • Overall network development
      • Motorway fuel outlets
      • Hypermarket fuel outlets
      • International oil companies
        • Shell
        • Total
        • BP
        • ExxonMobil
        • Kuwait Petroleum
        • Tamoil
        • LUKOIL
      • Independent groups
      • Network efficiency
      • Performance pacesetters in the retail market
      • Non-fuel retailing
  • Margins
    • Key issues influencing gross fuel margins
    • Key issues influencing net profitability
      • Retail fuels marketing
      • Commercial fuels marketing
    • Marketing gross fuel margins
    • Marketing net profitability
  • Infrastructure
    • Storage and distribution infrastructure
    • Storage capacity concentration
    • Independent petroleum product storage
    • Independent storage facilities in Netherlands
    • Crude input slate - 2015

In this report there are 34 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
  • Demand
    • Key demand indicators
    • Overall demand
    • Annual demand change
    • Demand by product
    • Demand by sector
    • Demand: Image 5
    • Gasoil/diesel demand by sector
    • Fuel oil demand by sector
    • Demand forecast (kt)
  • Policy and regulation
  • Trade
    • Trade balance 2009 - 2015
    • Trade: Table 1
    • Trade: Table 2
  • Market structure
    • Retail fuel volumes
    • Network size and structure
    • Retail outlets by brand
    • Market shares
    • Retail network efficiency
    • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
    • Market structure: Image 4
  • Margins
    • Margins: Table 1
    • Main products: monthly unit gross margins 2010 - 2015
    • Main products: annual average unit gross margins
    • Forecast unit net margins
  • Infrastructure
    • Infrastructure: Image 1
    • Infrastructure: Table 1
    • Infrastructure: Table 2
    • Pipeline capacity and ownership
    • Infrastructure: Table 4
    • Infrastructure: Image 2
    • Pernis refinery
    • Raffinaderij Rotterdam refinery
    • Rotterdam (Koch) refinery
    • Rotterdam (Esso) refinery
    • Infrastructure: Table 9
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