Commodity market report
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35 Pages

Norway downstream oil long-term outlook 2015


Norway downstream oil long-term outlook 2015

Report summary

Oil product supply from Norway’s two refineries exceeds domestic demand, making Norway a large net exporter of refined oil products and setting inland market prices at export parity. Norway’s oil products market is highly-concentrated, with four companies – Statoil Fuel & Retail, Shell, ExxonMobil, and Uno-X Energy – supplying more than 85% of demand. At end-2014 Shell sold its fuels marketing businesses to St1 and Statoil Fuel & Retail sold its aviation fuel supply division to Air BP. Demand for the major transport fuels in Norway is expected to remain flat or negative over the longer-term, as engine efficiency gains and electric car penetration continues to erode gasoline and diesel use in this mature economy. 

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  • Norway downstream oil long-term outlook 2015 PDF - 912.56 KB 35 Pages, 16 Tables, 17 Figures

Description

The long-term outlook for the fuels marketing sector is influenced by many factors: oil product demand, the market structure, key companies and downstream infrastructure developments to name a few.

This long-term outlook report provides a country update of demand trends and an assessment of the key players and assets serving the market.

The report is based on in-depth research about oil product demand, individual market participants and assets and helps downstream operators, traders and financial institutions determine product trading strategies, optimise their assets and identify attractive investment opportunities.

With over 20 years of experience in the refining industry, Wood Mackenzie is a trusted global leader with a reputation for producing consistently reliable information. Our senior analysts are based in the markets they analyse. They use detailed research data to forecast, benchmark and recognise trends that will help both new and existing participants identify opportunities and avoid risks.

  • Executive summary
    • Market drivers
    • Outlook
  • Economic outlook
  • Demand
    • Gasoline
    • Jet/kerosene
    • Gas/diesel oil
    • Fuel oil
  • Policy and regulation
    • Regulatory issues
    • Product quality
  • Trade
  • Key companies
    • Structure of the oil products market
    • Company positions in Norway
      • Statoil Fuel & Retail
      • Shell
      • ExxonMobil
      • Uno-X Energi
  • Market structure
    • Fuels retailing
      • Volumes
      • Overall network development
      • International oil majors
      • Independent and supermarket groups
      • Network efficiency
      • Performance pacesetters in the retail market
      • Non-fuel retailing
    • Commercial fuels
      • Motor fuels (gasoline and diesel)
      • Industrial/commercial gas oil
      • Aviation kerosene
      • Heavy fuel oil
      • Marine bunkers
      • LPG
      • Lubricants
      • Bitumen
  • Margins
    • Key issues influencing gross fuel margins
    • Key issues influencing net profitability
      • Retail fuels marketing
      • Commercial fuels marketing
    • Marketing gross fuel margins
      • Main products: monthly unit gross margins 2009 - 2014
    • Marketing net profitability
      • Forecast unit net margins
  • Infrastructure
    • Distribution of oil products
      • Means of primary distribution
    • Oil product storage infrastructure
      • Independent petroleum product storage
    • Crude oil delivery

In this report there are 33 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
  • Economic outlook
  • Demand
    • Key demand indicators
    • Total demand
    • Annual demand change
    • Demand: Image 3
    • Demand by sector
    • Car parc by fuel type
    • Gasoil and diesel demand by sector, 2000-2025
    • Fuel oil demand by sector, 2000-2025
    • Demand forecast (kt)
  • Policy and regulation
  • Trade
    • Trade balance 2008 - 2014
    • Trade: Table 1
    • Trade: Table 2
    • Trade: Table 3
    • Trade: Table 4
    • Trade: Table 5
  • Key companies
    • Estimated oil products market shares - 2014
  • Market structure
    • Retail fuel volumes
    • Network size and structure
    • Market structure: Table 2
    • Market structure: Table 3
    • Network size and throughput per site
    • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
    • Commercial diesel volumes
  • Margins
    • Gross fuel margins parameters
    • Margins: Image 1
    • Main products: annual average unit gross margins
    • Margins: Table 3
  • Infrastructure
    • Storage and distribution infrastructure map
    • Infrastructure: Image 2
    • Infrastructure: Image 3
    • Infrastructure: Table 1
    • Infrastructure: Table 2
    • Infrastructure: Table 3
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