Commodity market report
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38 Pages

Poland downstream oil long-term outlook 2015

Poland downstream oil long-term outlook 2015

Report summary

Poland is the largest national market for refined oil products within the CEE region and has been one of the strongest growth markets in Europe since the turn of the century. However, the longer-term demand growth outlook is flat for most major transport fuels. Poland’s fuel market is fully liberalised with oil prices set according to free market forces and an industry structure in which the two domestic refiners, PKN ORLEN and Grupa LOTOS, dominate the inland wholesale market, competing against product imports from neighbouring countries. A large number of independent fuel retail outlets in Poland have closed since 2013, largely due to the enforcement of more stringent environmental regulations around service stations.  

What's included?

This report includes 1 file(s)

  • Poland downstream oil long-term outlook 2015 PDF - 732.43 KB 38 Pages, 20 Tables, 13 Figures


The long-term outlook for the fuels marketing sector is influenced by many factors: oil product demand, the market structure, key companies and downstream infrastructure developments to name a few.

This long-term outlook report provides a country update of demand trends and an assessment of the key players and assets serving the market.

The report is based on in-depth research about oil product demand, individual market participants and assets and helps downstream operators, traders and financial institutions determine product trading strategies, optimise their assets and identify attractive investment opportunities.

With over 20 years of experience in the refining industry, Wood Mackenzie is a trusted global leader with a reputation for producing consistently reliable information. Our senior analysts are based in the markets they analyse. They use detailed research data to forecast, benchmark and recognise trends that will help both new and existing participants identify opportunities and avoid risks.

  • Executive summary
    • Market drivers
    • Outlook
  • Economic outlook
  • Demand
  • Policy and regulation
    • Regulatory issues
    • Product quality
  • Trade
  • Key companies
    • Structure of the oil products market
    • Company positions in Poland
      • PKN ORLEN
      • Grupa LOTOS
      • BP
      • Shell
      • Statoil Fuel & Retail
  • Market structure
    • Fuels retailing
      • Volumes
      • Overall network development
      • PKN ORLEN & Grupa LOTOS
      • International oil majors
      • Hypermarket groups
      • Independent groups
      • Network efficiency
        • Network size and throughput per site
      • Performance pacesetters in the retail market
      • Non-fuel retailing
    • Commercial fuels
      • Motor fuels (gasoline and diesel)
      • Industrial/domestic gasoil
      • Aviation kerosene
      • Heavy fuel oil
      • LPG
      • Lubricants
      • Bitumen
  • Margins
    • Key issues influencing gross fuel margins
    • Key issues influencing net profitability
      • Retail fuels marketing
      • Commercial fuels marketing
    • Marketing gross fuel margins
    • Marketing net profitability
  • Infrastructure
    • Distribution of oil products
    • Oil product storage infrastructure
      • Independent petroleum product storage
    • Crude oil delivery
    • Country crude slate overview
    • Refining overview
      • Gdansk refinery profile

In this report there are 33 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive summary
  • Economic outlook
  • Demand
    • Key demand indicators
    • Total demand
    • Annual change in demand
    • Demand forecast (kt)
  • Policy and regulation
  • Trade
    • Trade balance 2008 - 2014
    • Trade: Table 1
    • Trade: Table 2
    • Trade: Table 3
    • Trade: Table 4
    • Trade: Table 5
  • Key companies
    • Estimated all products market shares - 2014
  • Market structure
    • Retail fuel volumes
    • Network size and structure
    • Retail outlets by brand
    • Market shares
    • Market structure: Image 2
    • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
    • Commercial diesel volumes
  • Margins
    • Gross fuel margins parameters
    • Margins: Table 2
    • Main products: monthly unit gross margins 2009 - 2014
    • Main products: annual average unit gross margins
    • Forecast unit net margins
  • Infrastructure
    • Storage and distribution infrastructure map
    • Infrastructure: Image 2
    • Means of primary distribution
    • Infrastructure: Table 1
    • Independent storage facilities
    • Pipeline capacity and ownership
    • Crude input slate
    • Infrastructure: Table 4
    • Jedlicze refinery profile
    • Plock refinery profile
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