Commodity market report

Poland downstream oil long-term outlook

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Report summary

Poland is the largest national market for oil products in the CEE region and is one of few remaining growth markets in Europe. Most of the demand growth is from the road diesel segment, resulting in a widening middle distillate deficit and an increasing requirement for imports. The downstream sector is fully liberalised with oil product prices set according to free market forces. But the industry structure is characterised by the dominance of the two domestic refiners, PKN ORLEN and Grupa LOTOS. A proposed merger of these two companies could see the market become even more concentrated, as the new entity becomes a monopoly refiner with greater dominance over the fuels market. More stringent environmental regulations around service stations has led to continued consolidation of smaller independent fuel retailers in Poland. Unable to make the required investment to become compliant, many of these sites have either been acquired by larger players or shut down.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Poland downstream oil long-term outlook

    PDF 686.93 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 78.18 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 77.34 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 115.55 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 107.38 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 185.60 KB

  • Document

    Margins

    PDF 127.96 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 320.55 KB

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 31 images and tables including:

Images

  • Trade balance 2010 - 2016
  • Total demand
  • Annual change in demand
  • Storage and distribution infrastructure
  • Key trading countries/regions 2016
  • Trade: Image 3
  • Jet/kero - Net exporter
  • Diesel/gasoil - Balanced
  • Fuel oil - Net exporter
  • Means of primary distribution
  • Infrastructure: Image 3
  • Crude input slate - 2016
  • Infrastructure: Image 5
  • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
  • Commercial diesel volumes
  • Margins: Image 1
  • Market structure: Image 1
  • Market structure: Image 2

Tables

  • Key demand indicators
  • Demand forecast (kt)
  • Infrastructure: Table 1
  • Pipeline capacity and ownership
  • Main products: annual average unit gross margins
  • Margins: Table 2
  • Infrastructure: Table 2
  • Infrastructure: Table 4
  • Infrastructure: Table 5
  • Infrastructure: Table 6
  • Network size and structure
  • Market structure: Table 2
  • Market structure: Table 3

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