Commodity Market Report

Poland downstream oil long-term outlook

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20 May 2022

Poland downstream oil long-term outlook

Report summary

Poland is the largest market for oil products in the CEE region and is one of the few remaining growth markets in Europe. Although the downstream sector is fully liberalised, it is dominated by the two domestic refiners, PKN ORLEN and Grupa LOTOS. Should the proposed merger of these two companies go ahead, we would see a new player enter the fuels retail market and some changes in the wholesale market.

Table of contents

  • Market drivers
  • Outlook
  • Car parc
  • Gasoline
  • Jet kerosene
  • Diesel/gasoil
  • LPG
  • Compulsory stockholding
  • Excise duty and other taxes
  • Product quality
  • Biofuels
  • Electromobility
  • Retail fuel volumes
  • Retail network development
  • Major players: competitive position
    • PKN ORLEN
    • Grupa LOTOS
    • BP
    • MOL Group
    • Shell
    • Circle K
    • TotalEnergies
    • Anwim (Moya)
    • Amic
    • Avia
    • Hypermarket sites
    • Independent groups
  • Non-fuel retailing
  • Motor fuels (diesel)
  • Industrial/domestic gasoil
  • Aviation
  • Marine fuels
  • LPG
  • Lubricants
  • Bitumen
  • Fuels marketing margins
  • Distribution of oil products
    • PKN ORLEN
    • Grupa LOTOS
    • Others
  • Independent petroleum product storage

Tables and charts

This report includes 19 images and tables including:

  • Total demand
  • Demand by product
  • Car parc by fuel type
  • Diesel/gasoil demand by sectors
  • Biogasoline and biodiesel blending percentages
  • Retail fuel volumes
  • Network size and throughput per site
  • Retail fuel network size and retail fuel market share (2021)
  • Motorway stations by brands (2021)
  • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
  • Commercial diesel demand
  • Retail products: gross margins per year
  • Retail gasoline 95RON price formation 2021
  • Retail diesel price formation 2021
  • Storage and distribution infrastructure
  • PERN petroleum product storage terminals
  • Independent storage facilities
  • Gdansk refinery profile
  • Plock refinery profile

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Poland downstream oil long-term outlook

    PDF 1.81 MB