Commodity Market Report

Poland downstream oil long-term outlook

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27 October 2020

Poland downstream oil long-term outlook

Report summary

Poland is the largest market for oil products in the CEE region and is one of the few remaining growth markets in Europe. Although the downstream sector is fully liberalised, it is dominated by the two domestic refiners, PKN ORLEN and Grupa LOTOS. Should the proposed merger of these two companies go ahead, we would see a new player enter the fuels retail market and some changes in the wholesale market.

Table of contents

  • Market drivers
    • Compulsory stockholding
    • Excise duty and other taxes
    • Product quality
    • Biofuel blending
    • Electric vehicles
    • Car parc
    • Gasoline
    • Diesel/gasoil
    • Jet kerosene
    • LPG
    • Overall position - net importer
    • Fuels retailing
    • Overall retail network development
    • Domestic oil companies
    • Grupa LOTOS
    • International oil majors
    • BP
    • Shell
    • Circle K
    • Total
    • Minor Polish distributors
    • AMIC
    • MOYA
    • Hypermarket groups
    • Independent groups
    • Performance pacesetters in the retail market
    • Non-fuel retailing
    • Commercial fuels
    • Motor fuels (gasoline and diesel)
    • Industrial/domestic gasoil
    • Aviation kerosene
    • Heavy fuel oil
    • LPG
    • Lubricants
    • Bitumen
    • Fuels marketing margins
    • Fuels marketing net profitability
    • Distribution of oil products
    • Oil product storage infrastructure
    • Independent petroleum product storage
    • Crude oil delivery
    • Eastern Section
    • Country crude slate overview
    • Refining overview

Tables and charts

This report includes 27 images and tables including:

  • Key demand indicators
  • Total demand
  • Annual change in demand
  • Car parc by fuel type
  • Demand forecast (kt)
  • Trade balance
  • Key trading partners
  • Gasoline - net importer
  • Jet/kero - net exporter
  • Diesel/gasoil - net importer
  • Fuel oil - net exporter
  • Retail fuel volumes
  • Retail network size and structure
  • Retail outlets by brand
  • Motorway fuel outlets by brand
  • Hypermarket fuel outlets by brand
  • Retail fuel market shares
  • Retail network size and throughput
  • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
  • Commercial diesel volumes
  • Main products: monthly unit gross margins
  • Main products: annual average unit gross margins
  • Unit net margins
  • Storage and distribution infrastructure
  • Crude input slate

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Poland downstream oil long-term outlook

    PDF 1.89 MB