Commodity market report

Sweden downstream oil long-term outlook 2016

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Report summary

Sweden is a highly consolidated retail fuel market, with four companies accounting for approximately 90% of volume market share. The concentrated market structure limits the opportunity for further expansion through M&A by the incumbent players. As Sweden's refining hub in the west is removed from the main demand centre in the east, over half of refined product is exported to neighbouring markets. Sweden also imports finished products to meet local demand, especially from Finland. Retail service station numbers are in decline and the portfolio contains a large percentage of automats. Oil demand continues to decline as the government encourages policies aimed at de-carbonising the energy market.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Sweden downstream oil long-term outlook 2016

    PDF 803.73 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 77.83 KB

  • Document


    PDF 136.86 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 77.62 KB

  • Document


    PDF 125.03 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 168.72 KB

  • Document


    PDF 117.21 KB

  • Document


    PDF 443.54 KB

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 33 images and tables including:


  • Overall demand
  • Annual demand change
  • Demand by product
  • Demand by sector
  • Trade balance 2009 - 2015
  • Gasoil/diesel demand by sector
  • Fuel oil demand by sector
  • Main products: monthly unit gross margins 2010 - 2015
  • Infrastructure: Image 1
  • Means of primary distribution
  • Infrastructure: Image 3
  • Demand: Image 5
  • Retail fuel volumes
  • Network size and throughput per site
  • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
  • Commercial diesel volumes*


  • Key demand indicators
  • Trade: Table 1
  • Trade: Table 2
  • Demand forecast (kt)
  • Margins: Table 1
  • Main products: annual average unit gross margins
  • Forecast unit net margins
  • Infrastructure: Table 1
  • Infrastructure: Table 2
  • Preemraff Lysekil refinery
  • Nynäshamn refinery
  • Preemraff Gothenburg refinery
  • Gothenburg (ST1) refinery
  • Gothenburg Nynas refinery
  • Network size and structure
  • Retail outlets by brand
  • Market shares

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