Commodity market report

Sweden downstream oil long-term outlook

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Report summary

Sweden's retail fuel market is highly consolidated, with the four main players accounting for approximately 90% of volume market share. A high degree of market concentration limits the opportunity for further expansion through M&A by the incumbent players. Sweden's refining capacity exceeds domestic demand and the major refining hub in the west is somewhat removed from the main consumption centre in the east. These imbalances result in a large proportion of Sweden's refined oil products being exported. Sweden also imports finished products to meet local demand in the east, especially from Finland. Retail service station numbers are in decline and the overall network contains a large percentage of automats. The structural decline in road fuel demand is supported by policy aimed at greater efficiency and de-carbonising the energy market.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Sweden downstream oil long-term outlook

    PDF 766.12 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 78.02 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 137.27 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 78.27 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 118.58 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 153.71 KB

  • Document

    Margins

    PDF 124.28 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 405.38 KB

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 32 images and tables including:

Images

  • Overall demand
  • Annual demand change
  • Demand by product
  • Demand by sector
  • Trade balance 2010 - 2016
  • Storage and distribution infrastructure
  • Gasoil/diesel demand by sector
  • Fuel oil demand by sector
  • Main products: monthly unit gross margins 2011 - 2017
  • Means of primary distribution
  • Demand: Image 5
  • Retail fuel volumes
  • Network size and throughput per site
  • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
  • Commercial diesel volumes*
  • Infrastructure: Image 3

Tables

  • Key demand indicators
  • Trade: Table 1
  • Trade: Table 2
  • Demand forecast (kt)
  • Annual gross fuels marketing margins
  • Margins: Table 2
  • Infrastructure: Table 1
  • Preemraff Lysekil refinery
  • Nynäshamn refinery
  • Preemraff Gothenburg refinery
  • Gothenburg (ST1) refinery
  • Gothenburg Nynas refinery
  • Network size and structure
  • Retail outlets by brand
  • Market shares
  • Independent storage facilities in Sweden

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