Commodity Market Report

Sweden downstream oil long-term outlook

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16 March 2018

Sweden downstream oil long-term outlook

Report summary

Sweden's retail fuel market is highly consolidated, with the four main players accounting for approximately 90% of volume market share. A high degree of market concentration limits the opportunity for further expansion through M&A by the incumbent players. Sweden's refining capacity exceeds domestic demand and the major refining hub in the west is somewhat removed from the main consumption centre in the east. These imbalances result in a large proportion of Sweden's refined oil products being exported. Sweden also imports finished products to meet local demand in the east, especially from Finland. Retail service station numbers are in decline and the overall network contains a large percentage of automats. The structural decline in road fuel demand is supported by policy aimed at greater efficiency and de-carbonising the energy market. 

Table of contents

    • Market drivers
    • Outlook
    • Gasoline
      • Car parc by vehicle type
    • Jet kerosene
    • Gas/diesel oil
    • Fuel oil
    • Regulatory issues
    • Product quality
  • Trade
    • Fuels retailing
      • Volumes
      • Overall network development
      • Hypermarkets/supermarkets
      • International oil companies
        • OKQ8
        • Cirkle K (Statoil Fuel & Retail)
        • ConocoPhillips (Jet)
        • Shell
      • Independent groups
        • Preem
        • St1
        • Other
      • Network efficiency
      • Performance pacesetters in the retail market
      • Non-fuel retailing
    • Commercial markets
      • Motor fuels (gasoline and diesel)
      • Industrial/domestic gas oil
      • Aviation kerosene
      • Heavy fuel oil
      • Marine bunkers
      • LPG
      • Lubricants
      • Bitumen
    • Fuels marketing margins
    • Marketing gross fuel margins
    • Distribution of oil products
    • Oil product storage infrastructure
      • Independent petroleum product storage
    • Crude oil delivery
    • Country crude slate overview
      • Crude input slate - 2016
    • Refining overview

Tables and charts

This report includes 32 images and tables including:

  • Key demand indicators
  • Overall demand
  • Annual demand change
  • Demand by product
  • Demand by sector
  • Trade balance 2010 - 2016
  • Trade: Table 1
  • Trade: Table 2
  • Storage and distribution infrastructure
  • Gasoil/diesel demand by sector
  • Fuel oil demand by sector
  • Demand forecast (kt)
  • Main products: monthly unit gross margins 2011 - 2017
  • Annual gross fuels marketing margins
  • Margins: Table 2
  • Means of primary distribution
  • Infrastructure: Table 1
  • Preemraff Lysekil refinery
  • Nynäshamn refinery
  • Preemraff Gothenburg refinery
  • Gothenburg (ST1) refinery
  • Gothenburg Nynas refinery
  • Demand: Image 5
  • Retail fuel volumes
  • Network size and structure
  • Retail outlets by brand
  • Market shares
  • Network size and throughput per site
  • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
  • Commercial diesel volumes*
  • Independent storage facilities in Sweden
  • Infrastructure: Image 3

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Sweden downstream oil long-term outlook

    PDF 766.12 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 78.02 KB

  • Document

    Demand

    PDF 137.27 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 78.27 KB

  • Document

    Trade

    PDF 118.58 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 153.71 KB

  • Document

    Margins

    PDF 124.28 KB

  • Document

    Infrastructure

    PDF 405.38 KB

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