Commodity market report

United Kingdom downstream oil long-term outlook

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Report summary

With the closure of the Milford Haven Refinery in 2014 the UK is now a net importer of oil products, although it continues to produce surplus gasoline. The integrated downstream business model no longer exists in the country, with the last fully integrated player, ExxonMobil divesting all its company-operated networks in 2015. The dealer-owned retail sector is becoming dominated by large groups, purchasing sites that oil companies divested, such that over 20% are now owned by the four largest players.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    United Kingdom downstream oil long-term outlook

    PDF 939.00 KB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 80.74 KB

  • Document


    PDF 138.82 KB

  • Document

    Policy and regulation

    PDF 82.37 KB

  • Document


    PDF 132.27 KB

  • Document

    Market structure

    PDF 192.26 KB

  • Document


    PDF 137.95 KB

  • Document


    PDF 508.11 KB

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 44 images and tables including:


  • Total demand
  • Annual demand change
  • Demand by product
  • Demand by sector
  • Trade balance
  • Key trading countries/regions 2016
  • Gasoline trade
  • Jet/Kero trade
  • Diesel/Gasoil trade
  • Fuel oil trade
  • Storage and distribution infrastructure
  • Car parc by fuel type
  • Gas/diesel oil demand by sector
  • Fuel oil demand by sector
  • Main products: monthly unit gross margins 2011 - 2016
  • Means of primary distribution
  • Crude input slate - 2016
  • Retail fuel volumes
  • Network size and throughput per site
  • Network effectiveness ratio: ratio of share of fuel sales to share of sites
  • Commercial diesel volumes


  • Key demand indicators
  • Trade: Table 1
  • Trade: Table 2
  • Trade: Table 3
  • Trade: Table 4
  • Demand forecast (kt)
  • Annual average unit gross fuel marketing margins
  • Unit net margins
  • Pipeline capacity and ownership
  • Eastham refinery profile
  • Fawley refinery profile
  • Grangemouth refinery profile
  • Humber refinery profile
  • Lindsey oil refinery profile
  • Pembroke refinery profile
  • Stanlow refinery profile
  • Network size and structure
  • Market structure: Table 2
  • Network breakdown of key players
  • Market shares
  • Fuel supplier to the UK's main airports
  • Estimated average UK retail fuels marketing costs
  • Independent storage facilities

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