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Canadian Natural Resources corporate report

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Report summary

Canadian Natural Resources (CNRL)is in an enviable position. Its key strategic question is how to allocate an imminent wave of free cash flow. Our base case forecast of Cdn$4 billion over the next three years is conservative compared to CNRL's guidance. Key upsides are for increased shareholder returns and unconventional development.

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    Canadian Natural Resources corporate report

    PDF 376.32 KB

  • Document

    Canadian Natural Resources corporate report

    ZIP 1.08 MB

  • Document

    Canadian Natural Resources.xls

    XLS 3.10 MB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Strategy
  • Valuation
  • Financial health
  • Resources, reserves and production
  • Portfolio summary
  • Economic assumptions

Tables and charts

This report includes 22 images and tables including:

Images

  • Capex forecast
  • Capex flexibility
  • Dividend yields: benchmark
  • Strategy: Image 4
  • Share-price evolution
  • Enterprise value vs. WM NPV10
  • Evolution of market premium to WM NPV10
  • Cash-flow breakevens evolution
  • Net debt outlook
  • Reported and forecast production
  • Benchmarking: production CAGRs
  • WM reserves life
  • Reserves by resource theme
  • Base price assumptions (nominal terms)
  • Base, high and low Brent (nominal terms)

Tables

  • SWOT analysis
  • Key assets
  • Base price assumptions (nominal terms)
  • High price assumptions
  • Low price assumptions
  • Valuation assumptions
  • Foreign exchange rate assumptions

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