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10 Pages

Canadian oil sands: SAGD project cost inflation

Canadian oil sands: SAGD project cost inflation

Report summary

Wood Mackenzie has developed a proprietary model which forecasts cost inflation specific to SAGD (Steam Assisted Gravity Drainage) operations in the Canadian Oil Sands.  Our analysis shows that capex inflation will peak in 2014 at 5% annual increase before moderating in 2015.  Opex inflation on the other hand will continue to be high, averaging a 6% year-on-year increase over the next five years.  Strengthening gas prices and continued stress in the oil sands labour markets will impact...

What's included?

This report includes 2 file(s)

  • Canadian oil sands: SAGD project cost inflation PDF - 595.98 KB 10 Pages, 6 Tables, 9 Figures
  • Canadian oil sands SAGD project cost inflation Nov 2013.xls XLS - 365.50 KB


This Upstream Oil and Gas Insight report highlights the key issues surrounding this topic, and draws out the key implications for those involved.

This report helps participants, suppliers and advisors understand trends, risks and issues within the upstream oil and gas industry. It gives you an expert point of view to support informed decision making.

Wood Mackenzie's 500 dedicated analysts are located in the markets they cover. They produce forward-looking analysis at both country and asset level across the globe, backed by our robust proprietary database of trusted research.

Proprietary data means a superior level of analysis that is simply not available anywhere else. Wood Mackenzie is the recognised gold standard in upstream commercial data and analysis.

  • Executive Summary
  • Canadian SAGD project cost inflation
    • SAGD project background
  • SAGD capex and opex inflation
  • SAGD capex
    • Capex weightings
  • SAGD opex
    • Opex weightings
    • Opex index and forecast
  • SAGD economics and inflation sensitivity
    • Base case economics
    • Inflation sensitivity
    • Implications for operators
  • Appendix

In this report there are 15 tables or charts, including:

  • Executive Summary
  • Canadian SAGD project cost inflation
    • Canadian oil sands production
  • SAGD capex and opex inflation
  • SAGD capex
    • SAGD capex category weightings
    • Canadian oil sands: SAGD project cost inflation: Table 1
    • SAGD Capex Index (100 = 2000)
    • SAGD Capex Index
  • SAGD opex
    • SAGD opex category weightings
    • Opex sub-indices and weightings
    • Labour inflation
    • Gas price inflation
    • SAGD Opex Index (100 = 2000)
    • SAGD Opex Index
  • SAGD economics and inflation sensitivity
    • Generic SAGD project valuations
    • SAGD project economics inflation sensitivity
  • Appendix
    • Assumptions for generic SAGD project
    • Assumptions for High/Low inflation scenarios
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