The Caspian Sea production profile remains underpinned by the three mega-projects: Azeri Chirag Guneshli and Shah Deniz in Azerbaijan and Kashagan in Kazakhstan. However, the extent of this dominance is dependent on the scope and timing of future development phases. Additional upside could come from a handful of other assets, but the low oil price environment has cast doubt over their viability. Wood Mackenzie shares its views on project timelines, capital expenditure, rig movements, as well as exploration wells to be drilled out to 2020. Furthermore, we highlight the key variables which we assume will determine the fate of activity in the Caspian Sea. Regional 'wells to watch' are included in our new Exploration Well Tracker tool (subject to subscription).