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East Africa's pipeline corridor - connecting the rift valleys

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Report summary

Kenya's onshore Gregory Rift Basin has established itself as a new hydrocarbon province after recent exploration activity yielded 430 million barrels of recoverable oil. Our yet-to-find (YTF) estimate of over 3.6 billion barrels suggests the discovered volumes will increase. But developing these resources will not be easy - they are situated over 800 kilometres from the coast, with very little infrastructure nearby. Neighbouring landlocked Uganda has similar challenges, its 1.24 billion...

What's included

This report contains

  • Document

    East Africa's pipeline corridor - connecting the rift valleys

    PDF 518.81 KB

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Kenya and Uganda - exploration success in remote locations
  • An expensive and complex pipeline
  • Pipeline throughputs and tariffs
  • It unlocks huge value for the upstream partners and both countries
    • Inhospitable terrain to transit crude
    • Environmentally and socially sensitive areas en route
    • Road network in need of upgrading and building
    • Right of Way access will need to be negotiated
    • Sabotage and terrorist prevention will be a priority
    • Heating the pipeline will be expensive
    • Politics and pipeline tariff negotiations could still slow progress
  • Other pipeline options have been considered but not progressed
  • Conclusion
    • Pipeline assumptions
    • Upstream valuation

Tables and charts

This report includes 7 images and tables including:

Tables

  • Pipeline tariffs
  • Upstream assumptions

Images

  • Most likely export route for Uganda and Kenya
  • Pipeline throughputs
  • Assumed pipeline tariff structure
  • Pipeline tariffs
  • Kenyan model field valuations

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