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Suncor Energy corporate report

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19 December 2018

Suncor Energy corporate report

Report summary

Delivering attractive returns to shareholders is at the heart of Suncor's strategy. It's robust balance sheet has been supported by its profitable downstream business, which allowed the company increase the dividend during the downturn. Leveraging economies of scale to drive down production costs is now a core focus. Longer term, positioning for the next wave of growth will be a priority.    

Table of contents

  • Other Suncor Research
  • Executive summary
    • Maintaining premium market rating
    • A portfolio focussed on the oil sands, but offshore diversification beckons
    • Material organic growth opportunities are oil sands focussed
    • Leverage robust downstream portfolio
      • Western Canadian crude prices reward an integrated model
  • Portfolio summary
    • Wood Mackenzie base case valuation metrics
    • Wood Mackenzie base case investment and cost metrics
    • Wood Mackenzie base case production metrics
    • Wood Mackenzie base case reserves and resources metric
  • Economic assumptions

Tables and charts

This report includes 43 images and tables including:

  • Executive summary: Table 1
  • WM upstream NPV10 price sensitivity vs. Suncor EV
  • Benchmarking: share price performance
  • Portfolio summary: Table 1
  • Base price assumptions (nominal terms)
  • Base price assumptions (nominal terms)
  • Base, high and low Brent (nominal terms)
  • High price assumptions
  • Low price assumptions
  • Valuation assumptions
  • Foreign exchange rate assumptions
  • WM Brent base price cash flow breakeven
  • Net debt outlook
  • Combined dividend and buyback yield
  • Remaining upstream value by region*
  • Remaining value by resource theme
  • Suncor production forecast
  • Benchmarking: Production CAGRs
  • Benchmarking: % proportion of oil sands production
  • Cash flow by resource theme 2020-2030
  • Operating costs (Q3 2017-Q3 2018)
  • Outages: Syncrude (Jan 2016- Aug 2018)
  • Suncor refining capacity
  • Suncor NCM vs. regional averages
  • Upstream EV vs. Upstream NPV,10
  • Upstream portfolio sensitivities vs. NPV,10
  • Current NPV,10 vs. Future NPV,10
  • Base case upstream NPV,10
  • Forecast development expenditure (nominal)
  • Forecast operating expenditure (nominal)
  • New project returns
  • Reported development costs
  • Reported and WM forecasted production
  • Oil vs. Gas
  • Liquid production
  • Gas production
  • Total reserves; Wood Mackenzie commercial
  • Total reserves: reported vs. Wood Mackenzie
  • Total reserves: reported vs Wood Mackenzie
  • Reserve life: reported vs Wood Mackenzie
  • Crude by rail use – Western Canada
  • Focused Canadian refining capacity and production
  • WTI and WCS price trends

What's included

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