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US Independents: who will grow production in 2017?

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Report summary

A return to material self-funded growth requires >US$55/bbl: we estimate that our peer group of the 17 largest US Independents requires an average of US$50/bbl WTI in 2017 to be cash-flow neutral and replace production declines; US$57/bbl and US$63/bbl is required to grow at 5% and 10%, respectively. Three companies can achieve self-funded double-digit growth in 2017 at <US$50/bbl (ConocoPhillips, Pioneer and Marathon).

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