Commodity market report

Global zinc long-term outlook Q3 2014

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Report summary

In the medium to long term the key issue facing the zinc market is whether the zinc mining industry will be able to develop sufficient new mine capacity to offset scheduled mine closures and the incremental increase in global demand. However in the near term the zinc market dynamic will be determined by the ability of Chinese zinc smelters to respond to higher zinc prices.

What's included

This report contains

Table of contents

  • Executive summary
  • Demand
  • Supply
  • Supply-demand balances

Tables and charts

This report includes 43 images and tables including:

Images

  • Global slab zinc consumption by region
  • Zinc's intensity of use to decline in long-term
  • LME stocks and price
  • Zinc metal and concentrate stock cycle (kt Zn)
  • LME cash zinc prices and base case forecast 1960- 2030
  • Project incentive price curve (real$)
  • Forecast balances and prices
  • Urban non-residential construction forecast to make a larger contribution to construction output
  • Chinese end use dominated by construction sector
  • Demand: Image 5
  • Housing starts remain well below long-term average
  • Demand: Image 7
  • PMIs point to slower expansion in manufacturing and services and further contraction in construction
  • European vehicle production
  • Global first use consumption for zinc
  • Global zinc consumption by end use
  • Requirement and sources of future mine production
  • Requirement and sources of future smelter production

Tables

  • Demand: Table 1
  • Price forecasts and refined marked balances
  • Supply-demand balances: Table 2
  • China dominates global zinc consumption for forecast period
  • European zinc consumption
  • Supply: Table 2
  • Supply: Table 3
  • Supply: Table 5
  • Supply: Table 7
  • Supply: Table 8
  • Supply: Table 9
  • Supply: Table 10
  • Supply: Table 11
  • Supply: Table 12
  • Supply: Table 13
  • Supply: Table 14
  • Supply: Table 15
  • Supply: Table 16
  • Supply: Table 17
  • Supply: Table 18
  • Supply: Table 19
  • Oceania zinc smelter production capability

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