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Persistent non-OPEC volume growth poses a challenge. Get our latest OPEC and non-OPEC supply forecasts.
Based on our analysis of supply and demand, a window is opening to absorb more OPEC+ oil.
How to sum up the effect on oil markets of OPEC’s strategy since 2014? Based on how the fundamentals have evolved, it's been a pretty mixed bag.
Dwindling spare OPEC capacity leaves market vulnerable to disruption. Learn more.
The OPEC+ ‘deal of the century’ last weekend changes oil market dynamics in the short run. Find out more in this week's Edge.
The UAE’s shock departure from OPEC marks the bloc’s biggest split since 1960, raising fresh questions over supply discipline and oil prices
The oil price has been on a bull run for over a year. Fundamentals are improving with oil demand bouncing back towards pre-pandemic highs as the global economy recovers. But OPEC+ is also playing a key role in rebalancing the market after the crisis of 2020. How much further could prices go?
The first Edge was published in December 2015. To mark the 300th edition, here are our top game-changers in energy markets over the last eight years.
The coronavirus outbreak has derailed OPEC+, thrown the oil market into turmoil and sent an already unloved sector into freefall. What are the implications?
Where new oil supply to 2030 will come from and what it costs
2017 is set to be to be the third year Brent has traded at under half the heady levels of 2014.
The oil market has come to life, with prices finally delivering on our expectations for 2023. Our oil experts, Ann-Louise Hittle and Alan Gelder, join Simon Flowers to discuss where the market goes from here and what this could mean for the economy and politics.
Share price movements can be a good early indicator of changing fortunes. The oil and gas sector had a great month in September, jumping 8% and outperforming the broader global stock market by 6%. It’s more than just rotational buying.
What are the upstream investment strategies of big Gulf producers? And how much are they spending? Find out here. With analysis from Simon Flowers and Jessica Brewer.
Today’s geopolitical temperature is close to boiling point. So why haven’t oil prices leapt in response, as we’ve seen in the past?
OPEC+ output cuts hasten market tightening
Venezuela adds fresh uncertainty to an already oversupplied oil market
The return of Iranian exports to the oil market in 2021 was a clear risk. If sanctions are lifted, how much oil could Iran produce and how quickly? What wiggle room would OPEC+ have to accommodate Iran's exports? What would be the effect on the oil price?
Government starts pulling the levers to bolster the economy
Oil prices are on a roll, the 10% jump in January means Brent has tripled since the dark days of April 2020. How will the oil market develop in 2021 and can the price rise further still?
What's driven the rally, what is the outlook for supply and demand fundamentals in 2022, and how will geopolitics, including the Russia/Ukraine crisis, play out?
The attack on Saudi Arabia’s oil infrastructure took out over 5% of global oil supply and temporarily pushed up prices by 20%. What does the attack say about the security of oil’s supply chain?
What opportunities, challenges and risks does the world of energy and natural resources face in 2024? Our experts share their thoughts.
As demand collapses, how will the market deal with oversupply? Find out in this week's Edge.
Will the effect of coronavirus be more lasting for demand or supply? Will the oil price be lower-for-longer? Or, if demand recovers, could the sharp reduction in upstream investment lead to a tighter market and higher prices? Find out more in this week's Edge.
What are the key risks and uncertainties in 2019? Simon picks the ones our analysts worry could threaten our base case, including oil demand downside, tight oil upside and Iran export volumes.
Will geopolitics forever dog the transportation sector, even when electric vehicles (EVs) replace internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles? Simon Flowers investigates.
Can a decade be a turning point? So much happened in the energy sector, the 2010s might be seen as just that.
What opportunities, challenges and risks does the world of energy and natural resources face in 2025? From geopolitics to Big Oil M&A and innovation in power. Our experts share their thoughts.
The energy sector faces a very different future under President-elect Biden. What are the implications for the oil market? How will key US geopolitical relationships change? And can a Biden administration push through its climate change goals?
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