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The North Sea has weathered several storms in its 50-year existence. But the events of the past few weeks mean the sector is entering uncharted waters. The coronavirus pandemic and collapse in OPEC+ production restraint has seen Brent reach its lowest point since 2003.
The 2020 oil price crash is very different from the 2015 crash. Supply chain leaders will need to consider their contingency plans.
2023 was a year in which the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region consolidated 2022’s gains. 2024 heralds much uncertainty: an expansion of OPEC quotas will impact short term oil production across the region while capacity expansion continues apace.
The coronavirus pandemic is reducing oil demand. The OPEC+ production restraint agreement fell apart on 6 March and Saudi Arabia is rapidly increasing supply. The result: Brent crude has plunged to less than US$30/bbl. This will have a significant impact on currently producing fields and future supply. How low can the price go before different sources of production become uneconomic? Where are production shut-ins most likely? Can governments influence the result?
Where new oil supply to 2030 will come from and what it costs
With the world now considering a structural decline in oil demand, will upstream interest and investment in exploration be reduced?
2017 is set to be to be the third year Brent has traded at under half the heady levels of 2014.
May WTI futures settled at -$37.63 on April 20. Get the latest analysis from Ann-Louise Hittle, vice president, Macro Oils.
With COP28 recently completed in the UAE, there is elevated interest in progressing diverse clean energy strategies in the MENA region.
The oil market has come to life, with prices finally delivering on our expectations for 2023. Our oil experts, Ann-Louise Hittle and Alan Gelder, join Simon Flowers to discuss where the market goes from here and what this could mean for the economy and politics.
What are the upstream investment strategies of big Gulf producers? And how much are they spending? Find out here. With analysis from Simon Flowers and Jessica Brewer.
Share price movements can be a good early indicator of changing fortunes. The oil and gas sector had a great month in September, jumping 8% and outperforming the broader global stock market by 6%. It’s more than just rotational buying.
Today’s geopolitical temperature is close to boiling point. So why haven’t oil prices leapt in response, as we’ve seen in the past?
OPEC+ output cuts hasten market tightening
Looking at the May OSPs, it is clear that Saudi Arabia wants to ensure its crude remains very competitive in Asia.
Our Global Upstream Update presents timely analysis of key industry topics from our regional experts situated around the world.
Wood Mackenzie releases its Oil markets: 5 things to look for in 2022 report which discusses the uncertainties and issues impacting global demand, oil supply and refining markets this year.
Venezuela adds fresh uncertainty to an already oversupplied oil market
The return of Iranian exports to the oil market in 2021 was a clear risk. If sanctions are lifted, how much oil could Iran produce and how quickly? What wiggle room would OPEC+ have to accommodate Iran's exports? What would be the effect on the oil price?
Global markets were volatile heading into the new year. Oil has been no exception, with Brent trading between $62 per barrel on 7 December 2018 before falling to $51/b on 21 December. Mixed macroeconomic data have driven much of the volatility, with political uncertainty compounding concerns of a sharper than expected economic slowdown. What's the outlook for 2019?
On 23 November, US President Biden announced the release of 50 million barrels (mbbl) of crude oil from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR).
The MENA upstream sector enters 2026 with strong momentum, abundant opportunities and rising risks that will shape investment, supply dynamics and strategic positioning across the region.
The industry needs to look beyond short-term price volatility.
Analysis of global oil cost curves indicates that many conventional pre-FID projects – even deepwater developments - are now competitive on a breakeven basis with US Lower 48 tight oil. However, this competitiveness has come at the expense of volumes. The trade-off of cost efficiency versus volumes means that in the medium- to long-term, the cost of supply is set to increase, highlighting the US Lower 48’s role as an important marginal barrel producer.
Government starts pulling the levers to bolster the economy
Oil prices are on a roll, the 10% jump in January means Brent has tripled since the dark days of April 2020. How will the oil market develop in 2021 and can the price rise further still?
Reports of the death of coal have been greatly exaggerated. Demand has been bouncing back this year as the world economy picks up again, and some prices have hit their highest levels for more than a decade.
After over a year of trade tensions, the US and China signed a “phase one” trade deal on 16 January. As part of the deal, China has agreed to increase the value of energy imports by US$52.4 billion above 2017 levels over the next two years. What could it mean for the oil market?
Our experts unpack the 5 key trends shaping Asia’s oil and refining markets in 2025 and what to expect in 2026
What opportunities, challenges and risks does the world of energy and natural resources face in 2024? Our experts share their thoughts.
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