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Global polyester production is expected to decline by more than half a million tonnes this year. For polyester’s key raw materials, paraxylene (PX) and PTA, the knock-on effects will hit global demand in the coming years.
According to the latest analysis by Wood Mackenzie, China’s oil demand will recover to 13 million barrels per day (b/d) in Q2 2020, a 16.3% jump compared to Q1 this year.
National oil companies (NOCs) globally are estimated to cut exploration budgets by over a quarter on average in 2020, says Wood Mackenzie.
Bangladesh is expected to double its fossil fuel imports to 32 million tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe) between 2020 and 2030, says Wood Mackenzie.
A new report from Wood Mackenzie shows that olefins production losses in Asia have reached historical highs as a result of regional lockdowns in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak.
Looking at the May OSPs, it is clear that Saudi Arabia wants to ensure its crude remains very competitive in Asia.
The coronavirus pandemic will have a significant impact on the global solar PV market. Construction and development is slowing as countries around the world enforce unprecedented lockdowns. As the world economy faces severe economic disruption, Wood Mackenzie has downgraded its forecast for 2020 installations from 129.5 gigawatts (GW) to 106.4 GW, a reduction of 18%.
Global electric vehicle (EV) sales closed at 2.2 million in 2019. This number is expected to drop 43% to 1.3 million by the end of 2020, according to new research from Wood Mackenzie.
According to new analysis from Wood Mackenzie, annual average wind turbine supply is forecast to hit $60 billion between 2020 and 2028 - reflecting an increase of 8% compared to 2019.
In a new report, Wood Mackenzie projects that India could face over 21.6% or 3 gigawatts (GW) of solar photovoltaic (PV) and wind installations being delayed as a result of the country’s lockdown.
If coronavirus containment measures continue to curtail movement of goods and people through Q2 this year, alongside an economic downturn, the market impact could trim Wood Mackenzie’s 2020 global energy storage deployments forecast by 19%.
In its latest short-term gas and LNG outlook report, Wood Mackenzie weighs the risks coronavirus, sustained low oil prices and LNG oversupply pose to the sector this year.
Wood Mackenzie has trimmed its forecast for US behind-the-meter (BTM) energy storage in 2020 by 31% as a result of the coronavirus crisis.
Wood Mackenzie’s latest analysis reveals that China’s crude stock (including strategic and commercial petroleum reserves) could reach 1.15 billion barrels in 2020, equivalent to 83 days of oil demand.
Over the next decade, traditional fuel-based generation will shrink as a proportion of the power mix. This will increase the flexibility needs of utility and power markets, according to Wood Mackenzie.
Approximately $2.1 billion in cumulative disclosed corporate-level investment was deployed into off-grid energy access markets between 2010 and 2019.
The OPEC oil producers' group and its non-OPEC allies are poised to deepen its production cuts by 1.5 million barrels per day as the coronavirus (Covid-19) outbreak eats into global oil demand.
Overall flexible packaging demand in Asia grew by 4.8% in 2019, down from 5.6% in 2018. This was mainly due to slower growth rates in major national markets, according to Wood Mackenzie.
The starting gun has sounded for the global storage market, which is set to grow from approximately 4GW of annual deployments in 2019 to more than 15GW in 2024, according to Wood Mackenzie.
The most important driver of the zinc market in 2020 will be the performance of the world’s zinc smelting industry, according to Wood Mackenzie.
All eyes will be on the Indonesian nickel market in 2020. The knives may be out for the country’s nascent stainless industry but the staggering potential for expansion in NPI may reduce the impact of the nickel ore export ban to a minor inconvenience. Although the global battery sector share of nickel demand is much smaller than other metals, getting the quantity of nickel that EVs will need by the mid-2020s will remain a challenge.
As we look to 2020, copper is faced with a finely balanced market. For now, positive investor sentiment around copper’s fundamentals is supporting higher prices.
In Q3 2019, Tesla announced its plans to capture 1% of all car sales globally. With its current portfolio of luxury cars, the company is unlikely to meet that target by the end of the decade. However, if it launches an entry-level car priced at $25,000, Wood Mackenzie projects that Tesla will meet the 1% target as early as 2024.
The level of uncertainty and anxiety among upstream producers and supply chain has rarely been higher. In 2020, decision-making will be more heavily influenced by sentiment surrounding the energy transition, political upheaval and trade disputes than in previous years. This adds to the ever-present risks of unexpected supply-demand imbalance, niche cost inflation or a global economic downturn. What are the biggest trends to watch in the upstream oil and gas business in 2020? Fraser McKay, head of upstream analysis at Wood Mackenzie, sees five key themes.
Chinese polyester market growth is expected to sit at just below 3% in 2020, a marked decline from the strong growth seen between 2018 and 2019. This dip in performance is mainly due to slashed growth for bottle-grade PET, according to Wood Mackenzie.
The gas transit and supply contracts between Russia and Ukraine expire at 10 am on 1 January 2020 (Moscow time) – the future of Ukraine transit remains the largest uncertainty for global gas markets in 2020. Murray Douglas, director, European gas at global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie, said: “Ukraine remains the major transit route for Russian gas into Europe – over 76 billion cubic metres (cm) will be transported via Ukraine this year."
Wood Mackenzie has identified five themes related to project sanctions, exploration, M&A, energy transition and IMO 2020 that will impact Asia Pacific’s upstream industry in 2020.
According to a new report by Wood Mackenzie, China’s wind repowering market is expected to take off from 2023. More than 21 gigawatts (GW) (cumulative capacity) of China’s wind turbine fleet is expected to be repowered over the next 10 years (2019-2028).
Project cancellations and delays connecting planned projects to the electric grid will lead the US microgrid market to contract 17% from its 2018 peak by the end of this year, according to new research from Wood Mackenzie.
Chevron has given the green light to the Anchor development in deepwater US Gulf of Mexico. This is Chevron’s first greenfield final investment decision as an operator since its sanction of Big Foot and Jack/St Malo in 2010.
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