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On 23 November, US President Biden announced the release of 50 million barrels (mbbl) of crude oil from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR).
Our view of the year ahead, including the impact of Trump's re-election on our oil price forecast, a look at refining margins, ethylene capacity and China's overcapacity affects downstream chemicals markets.
Analysis of global oil cost curves indicates that many conventional pre-FID projects – even deepwater developments - are now competitive on a breakeven basis with US Lower 48 tight oil. However, this competitiveness has come at the expense of volumes. The trade-off of cost efficiency versus volumes means that in the medium- to long-term, the cost of supply is set to increase, highlighting the US Lower 48’s role as an important marginal barrel producer.
The industry needs to look beyond short-term price volatility.
Government starts pulling the levers to bolster the economy
Reports of the death of coal have been greatly exaggerated. Demand has been bouncing back this year as the world economy picks up again, and some prices have hit their highest levels for more than a decade.
Oil prices are on a roll, the 10% jump in January means Brent has tripled since the dark days of April 2020. How will the oil market develop in 2021 and can the price rise further still?
The global upstream fundamentals for 2019 are encouraging, despite recent price volatility. Angus Rodgers explains why in this look ahead at five big themes in upstream oil and gas in 2019.
What's driven the rally, what is the outlook for supply and demand fundamentals in 2022, and how will geopolitics, including the Russia/Ukraine crisis, play out?
After over a year of trade tensions, the US and China signed a “phase one” trade deal on 16 January. As part of the deal, China has agreed to increase the value of energy imports by US$52.4 billion above 2017 levels over the next two years. What could it mean for the oil market?
Easily understand trends in the global oil market with our informed, independent view on oil prices and their key drivers.
What opportunities, challenges and risks does the world of energy and natural resources face in 2024? Our experts share their thoughts.
Calmer waters are expected for the oils, refining and chemicals industries in 2024 – but that doesn’t mean it’s plain sailing. What are the top trends to track for the year ahead?
For the global and regional energy sector, Kazakhstan’s stability matters. What are the short- and long-term consequences of recent events?
As demand collapses, how will the market deal with oversupply? Find out in this week's Edge.
Will the effect of coronavirus be more lasting for demand or supply? Will the oil price be lower-for-longer? Or, if demand recovers, could the sharp reduction in upstream investment lead to a tighter market and higher prices? Find out more in this week's Edge.
The near-term impact of the coronavirus outbreak on oil demand remains uncertain as much depends upon when and how China’s manufacturing industry restarts after the currently extended Lunar New Year public holiday.
The second half of 2018 was a very challenging time for refining. This weak commercial performance was due to a whole host of adverse market developments. Are these developments temporary or are they here to stay?
Competition is fierce and struggling Asian refiners must now take full advantage of the abundant crude options to maximise their margins.
ADIPEC will take place from 4-7 November in Abu Dhabi. The event will focus on the role of energy in driving a comprehensive transformation that benefits people, the planet, and our collective prosperity.
Good news on Covid-19 vaccines points to a rebound next year, but there are still some difficult months ahead
US LNG export plants are working flat-out to meet strong global demand for gas that has been reflected in soaring prices. With new capacity coming on stream late in 2021 and early in 2022, the US is emerging as the world’s largest LNG exporter.
Understand the prospects for future oil and NGL supply, and make astute planning, trading and investment decisions.
A new tariff plan on imports would affect US consumers, global oil markets and refining, if implemented post US election.
What are the key risks and uncertainties in 2019? Simon picks the ones our analysts worry could threaten our base case, including oil demand downside, tight oil upside and Iran export volumes.
Will geopolitics forever dog the transportation sector, even when electric vehicles (EVs) replace internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles? Simon Flowers investigates.
Libya's oil production has increased steeply from August 2016’s low point of below 300,000 barrels per day (b/d) to around 850,000 b/d at present, passing the 1 million b/d barrier in July. But Wood Mackenzie believes Libya may now be reaching its near-term production limits and future growth will be gradual.
The average retail gasoline price in the United States is now close to U.S.$3 a gallon, while in Germany, gasoline is retailing at an average of €1.40 per litre. We last saw prices like these in November 2014. Could we see a repeat of the 2014 reprieve?
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