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What can we expect in the world of energy in 2024. A solar slowdown, relief for OPEC+, and the rise of blue hydrogen are among Wood Mackenzie analysts’ predictions for the year ahead.
Surging electricity demand for AI is prompting companies and banks to look at building new nuclear power plants in the US. Government support will still be needed.
US tax credits for low-carbon energy have bipartisan support, but could still come under pressure in the next Congress. Wood Mackenzie has modelled a “severe downside scenario” to show the possible impact on investment if the credits are cut.
Senator Joe Manchin is facing one last job before leaving Congress: passing legislation that could transform the outlook for energy investment in the US. His permitting reform bill aims to realise the potential of the Inflation Reduction Act.
Political support is a necessary but not sufficient condition for a revival in investment in new reactors in the US.
When you need more transmission capacity to connect up wind and solar and data centres, but it’s hard to build new lines, innovative grid technologies could be the answer. The Biden administration is trying to break down barriers to deployment.
China takes only a tiny share of the US markets for EVs, solar modules and steel. The Biden administration is signaling that it intends to keep it that way.
Hydrogen can play a vital role in getting to net zero. But the current policy framework will not be enough to support growth on the scale required.
Residential solar in the US suffered two damaging blows last year: higher interest rates and changes to net metering rules in California. The upside has been a boom in sales of solar systems with battery storage attached.
Excess capacity has sent solar panel prices tumbling. In the early 2010s, the stretch goal was to get the cost down to 50c a watt. Now they are selling in China for just 11c. That is great for solar deployment, but less good for manufacturers.
Utilities already grappling with decarbonisation and climate risks now face growing demand from data centres to support AI applications.
The Biden administration’s pause in LNG project approvals points to new political risks for US gas exports. Blue ammonia could be a solution
Solar installations have been outpacing wind in the US, but face growing challenges in securing grid connections.
A solar slowdown, relief for OPEC+, the rise of blue hydrogen, and other trends to watch out for in the year ahead
Countries including China and India want the climate talks to address unilateral measures such as the EU’s CBAM and the US Inflation Reduction Act.
Manufacturers have been scaling back plans for growth. But the long-term trend is still towards electrification
Saudi Aramco invests in gigawatt-scale solar, India sets its low-carbon hydrogen standard, Engie buys battery storage in the US, and more.
Solar power construction breaking records around the world, oil and gas taxes under review in the UK, the latest on the claims of a breakthrough in superconductors, and more.
News and views in brief from some of our global energy specialists, including challenges for offshore wind in Europe, Equinor buys renewables assets in Brazil, China adds to its LNG import capacity, and a potentially revolutionary scientific discovery.
This week, we look at Denbury’s carbon capture, utilisation and storage (CCUS) expansion, ExxonMobil’s latest venture into the lithium sector and Permian M&A and inventory demand.
The decisions by Ford and GM to adopt Tesla’s charging technology in the US mean that the market is closing in on a single standard.
The EPA’s proposed emissions standards for power plants face a battle in the courts. Other factors will be more significant for the industry.
Chile’s president is moving to take greater control of the country’s lithium resources. It still needs to attract international companies.
Congress and President Biden are at odds over possible new duties on modules imported from Southeast Asia
Standards for greenhouse gas reporting are being reviewed. New rules could shift incentives for corporate renewables procurement.
Three large projects are making progress in the West. But is the pace of development fast enough?
The Biden administration aims to transform the US vehicle market in a decade. That timetable is excessively ambitious.
CCUS has great potential, but economics, regulation, and politics create some complex problems to be solved
Like E&Ps, oilfield services companies are prioritising cash generation and distributions to shareholders. It could be a constraint on the industry's growth.
Rise in emissions in 2022 likely to be short-lived, but the long-term trend is for only gradual decline.
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