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Another commodities supercycle is on the horizon, but it will be different from any that have come before. Fossil fuels won’t be in the vanguard and the winners will be the industrial metals needed to electrify society - cobalt, lithium, copper, nickel, and aluminium.
Europe is at the forefront of the shift to net zero, both in ambition, but also in terms of how to make rapid and deep decarbonisation a reality. The world needs to reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions as quickly as possible. Not doing so means we will need to turn to expensive and unproven technologies to withdraw CO2 from the atmosphere later this century.
The EU Commission proposed a carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) as part of today’s “Fit for 55” package. James Whiteside, global head of multi-commodity research at Wood Mackenzie, said: “As the first mechanism of its kind, the CBAM is being designed in consultation with industry to avoid unintended consequences. “A CBAM that does not cover a substantial portion of the production chain will encourage carbon leakage - pushing emissions beyond the borders of the EU or shifting competition between EU and non-EU producers to the next stage of the value chain.”
According to Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk business (Nasdaq:VRSK), global wind power life cycle emissions will reach 55 million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (Mt CO2) from 2020 to 2050, a result of wind power capacity expanding five-fold to 3.7 terawatts from 2020 to 2050. This is roughly equivalent to four times the US’s total power capacity in 2020.
Asia Pacific renewables (wind and solar) generation investments could double to US$1.3 trillion over the current decade to 2030 compared to the previous decade (2011 – 2020), says Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk business (Nasdaq:VRSK).
Wood Mackenzie is pleased to announce its acquisition of Roskill, a privately-owned company and leader in metals and materials supply chain intelligence.
The Biden administration aims to transform the US vehicle market in a decade. That timetable is excessively ambitious.
CCUS has great potential, but economics, regulation, and politics create some complex problems to be solved
Like E&Ps, oilfield services companies are prioritising cash generation and distributions to shareholders. It could be a constraint on the industry's growth.
Rise in emissions in 2022 likely to be short-lived, but the long-term trend is for only gradual decline.
Delays in infrastructure projects are causing growing problems for both the hydrocarbon and renewables sectors
COP27 is ongoing, but progress could be limited by the leaders of China and India staying away from the summit in Egypt
Lula’s victory in the presidential election means a stronger emphasis on curbing emissions, but no radical changes in energy policy.
Biden administration’s climate and energy strategy faces a conflict between supporting US manufacturing in low-carbon technologies and encouraging the fastest possible deployment of renewable energy.
The US administration has suggested possible restrictions on imports of Russian oil. “Self-sanctioning” is already starting to have an impact
In this year’s Super Bowl, six companies showed ads that showcased their electric vehicles, two included EVs in their commercials, and one advertised EV chargers.
Distribution generation has grown rapidly in California, Brent Crude breaks US$90 a barrel, and winners and losers from an accelerated energy transition.
The blackouts raise important questions about investment, innovation and electricity market design, as the share of variable renewable generation on the grid increases.
Rising gasoline prices have become an economic problem for the US, adding to concerns about inflation, and a political problem for President Joe Biden. The administration has been trying different ways to bring them down, without much success.
European gas prices have been hitting record highs and prices have been soaring in Asia. It's clear the market needs more gas. The US has the resources to meet that demand, but has hurdles to overcome
Hurricanes are a fact of life in the Gulf of Mexico, and the energy industry has many decades of experience in managing the risks. But Hurricane Ida has been one of the most disruptive in recent years, and about 1.5 million barrels per day of US oil production is still offline. Increased rainfall and potentially higher wind speeds in future could further complicate the challenge of resilience.
The ransomware attack on the Colonial pipeline system had only a marginal impact on fuel markets, but could have been much more serious.
The shift towards renewable power generation relies on adding transmission capacity. Opposition to new lines makes that an uphill battle.
The shutdown of the Indian Point nuclear plant underlines the difficulty of achieving 100% zero-carbon electricity in the US by 2035
After a spectacular rise, Tesla’s shares have been on a downward trend this month. The company’s fundamental prospects still look good
The president wants to support renewables and EVs, while having little immediate impact on oil and gas
WTI above $50 means US E&Ps can hold production flat while paying down debt. But will they be tempted to go for growth?
Reputational, legal and political risks meant there was little interest in a first-ever lease sale in the area. But Alaska’s oil industry has other more promising prospects
Wood Mackenzie analysts on what we should expect in energy in the coming year, for sectors from oil markets to solar costs and coal exports to EVs
Priorities for the new president will be creating jobs and cutting emissions. Offshore wind can help him do both
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