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Wind is one of the cleanest power technologies, but there’s still potential to cut life cycle emissions.
A recap from the last three editions of Horizons, from the prospect of upside-down oil and gas prices to the vast potential of carbon capture
The gas pipeline from Russia to Germany has been acknowledged as a “fait accompli” by the US. The European market will still need more LNG
In Q1 of 2021, electric vehicle sales rocketed to 550,000 – a 66% increase over the same period last year. This surge has seen our outlook upgraded to 950 million EVs on the road by 2050.
As a heatwave hit the southwest US this week, electricity demand surged, putting strain on the grids in Texas and California. Grid operators issued alerts urging customers to conserve electricity where possible by turning up thermostats and not running appliances in the late afternoon and evening. The measures worked: blackouts were avoided in both states. But the alerts were a reminder of the pressures facing grids in extreme weather conditions, which will increase as their reliance on wind and solar power grows. Demand response programmes and other measures to improve the flexibility of the grid are becoming increasingly important.
Scrutiny of the environmental impact of mining has never been greater and with COP26 on the horizon the spotlight will only intensify. How is the gold industry tackling the challenge?
Oil and gas companies have been coming under mounting pressure from large shareholders to address climate risks, and that pressure has stepped up sharply this year. The world’s six largest investors by assets under management have signed up to the Net Zero Asset Managers initiative, committing them to supporting the goal of global net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 or sooner. In total the signatories to the initiative have $37 trillion under management.
Competitive bidding has become the norm in the onshore wind operations and maintenance (O&M) market, pushing price-points down. Meanwhile, operational costs have escalated. How will the industry combat the cost challenge and secure cheaper onshore wind?
This is a big year for climate policy. The Paris agreement of 2015 set up a five-yearly cycle for countries to increase the ambition of their goals for cutting greenhouse gas emissions. So right from the outset, the COP26 climate conference originally scheduled for 2020 was going to be particularly significant.
The events of May 26 2021 look like a defining moment for the oil and gas industry. In the space of a few hours, three decisions crystallised trends that had been building for years at the large international oil companies, showing the pressure they are under to address climate change and the energy transition.
Coal producers are feeling the weight of public scrutiny and investor pressure as increasingly stringent carbon emission policies threaten future demand. A price on carbon – a key policy for emissions reduction – could also transform industry costs and prices.
At a US-hosted climate summit this week, large economies discussed their ambitious objectives for cutting emissions. Now comes the hard part.
What do major investors need to know to capitalise on the opportunity offered by the energy transition over coming decades?
NOCs must play a role in the global mission to decarbonise. Could this be a game-changing year?
The past year has undoubtedly been the most dramatic in the history of the global LNG industry. Demand buffeted by lockdowns and recession, liquefaction shut-in, pre-FID supply projects delayed and spot LNG prices crashing to all-time lows before going into orbit.
Ford has launched the electric version of its best-selling F-150 truck. Its success or failure will have a big impact on the electrification of transport in the US, and on climate policy.
The energy transition is a transformational force, with technology at its heart. What are the technologies that are driving change? Which innovations are on track to help unlock the world’s lower-carbon future? And where do we need to pick up the pace?
Carbon capture, utilisation and storage (CCUS) could be a critical step on the Majors’ decarbonisation journey. What role could this technology play, and can it scale at the pace required to support Paris Agreement targets?
How will changes to onshore and offshore turbine technology impact the industry?
The ‘war on plastics’ is changing the packaging industry. But while much of the debate focuses on recycling, reuse still plays a marginal role in most packaging markets. Is that about to change? And what would that mean for polymer demand?
The Biden administration this week issued an order suspending further work on oil leases in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge in Alaska, pending a new environmental review. The order follows through on a commitment that President Joe Biden made on his first day in office. Drilling in ANWR has always been highly controversial, and the lease sale in January attracted only limited interest.
It is increasingly clear across Asia that governments, lenders, and both gas suppliers and consumers must prioritise the management of carbon emissions across the gas value chain.
This year, the UK will host COP26. Countries around the world are aware of their responsibilities to tackle climate change, and many have set targets to cut greenhouse gas emissions.
Ambitions for offshore wind are ramping up. Everything, it seems, is scaling up – including the turbines.
Earlier this year, we published a case study exploring S-Oil’s decision to add steam cracking capacity to its Onsan refinery. In this update, we have used REM-Chemicals and PetroPlan to scrutinise the possible impact of carbon costs.
Using Lens Power Valuations, we flex assumptions and perform sensitivity analysis for offshore wind assets in seconds.
Energy and commodity markets are transforming, and so is the role of ports. What are the key questions for port operators and investors as global economies push for net zero?
With peak oil demand on the horizon, diversifying the product mix will be crucial for refiners. Cutting emissions intensity could also give refinery sites a crucial competitive edge.
The vast majority of carbon emissions from Asia Pacific are now covered by net zero targets. Wind and solar generation will be critical to achieving this but must be combined with energy storage.
We estimate that if all pledges made at COP26 are actioned, the world could reach a 2 °C pathway, although we would still fall short of 1.5 °C.
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