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What is the trajectory of oil demand in a world that’s decarbonising and how will that influence prices?
Despite strong financial performance for the 48 IOCs and NOCs covered in our Corporate Service this year, investment activity is weak. Simon Flowers and Norman Valentine discuss.
Obstacles to M&A have abounded these last three years. Money’s been tight, and for many companies acquisitive growth wasn’t needed after a period of heavy of investment earlier in the decade.
Canada's investor sentiment soured by environmental concerns and competition for capital from tight oil have already begun to reshape the domestic corporate landscape.
The firmer oil price we expect can only embolden the already resurgent US tight oil industry which is on course to displace the 1 million b/d OPEC has cut within the year. Three main aspects of the decision stand out.
Why have oil prices come under renewed downward pressure? Our Macro Oils team, led by Ed Rawle, sees three main reasons.
Arresting the explosive growth of US tight oil was a clear target of the price war after the OPEC+ meeting collapsed in March. What's been the effect on drilling and investment? How much will production fall and how quickly? Will tight oil recover and get back on a growth path? Find out more in this week's Edge.
If the demand side of the equation is relatively predictable, oil supply is notoriously difficult. Many of the market’s most colourful moments through history have revolved around supply, with OPEC at the centre of most in the last six decades.
OPEC’s plan for production cuts signals a desire to support prices, even if the battle to wrest control of the market seems barely half won.
The OPEC+ ‘deal of the century’ last weekend changes oil market dynamics in the short run. Find out more in this week's Edge.
How much new oil does the world need over the next decade? Where are the competitive plays? What are the economic breakeven prices? Our chief analyst, Simon Flowers, explores in the latest edition of The Edge.
Access to capital the biggest obstacle for local players
There’s more than one route to resilience and sustainability
Deepwater hot spots drive up demand for drilling
OPEC+ output cuts hasten market tightening
The Majors have shown there can be different approaches to decarbonisation and achieving net zero, but divergent strategies are showing signs of converging again.
Crude oil’s centrality to the global economy has been reinforced in the energy crisis of 2022. Oil demand has recovered strongly from the Covid-induced dip and, despite an economic slowdown, could reach record highs next year. But COP27, underway in Egypt, is a reminder that oil consumption must fall if the world is to achieve net zero.
How resilient are the Majors' upstream portfolios? Which Majors lead on resilience metrics? How do companies build resilience into portfolios? Find out in this week's Edge.
Future energy demand patterns could look very different depending on policy choices and the societal response to the pandemic. Our three scenarios suggest oil demand in particular is at risk. How will the increased uncertainty influence corporate strategy? Will we see diversifying companies speed up investment in decarbonisation? What are the options for pure oil and gas players, big or small?
Last week in Singapore, sector leaders, including CEOs, took to the stage for Wood Mackenzie’s 6th APAC Energy and Natural Resources Summit. The theme was ‘Rebooting Asia’s energy transition’.
The oil and gas sector is bouncing back strong. After savaging costs and spend in response to last year's crisis, and with Brent soaring over US$65/bbl, we expect a resurgence of upstream cash generation in 2021. How much free cash flow will the sector generate? What will companies do with it?
Offshore wind is at the forefront of the Euro Majors' new energy strategies. It's a proven technology, ready for scaling up – and the latest UK permits show the competition for projects is heating up. How big could it be for Big Oil?
Where new oil supply to 2030 will come from and what it costs
Industrialising a nascent technology that’s critical for net zero targets
A healthy crop of oil and gas projects are up for FID in 2021. If they go ahead, the spend could reverse the downward trend in upstream investment. But sanctioning new projects is getting harder.
Last week's big announcements for ExxonMobil, Chevron and Shell show that stakeholders are intensifying the pressure on Big Oil to speed up action on climate. What are the implications for the wider industry?
As the energy transition gains pace, questions are being asked about exploration's continued relevance. Does the industry still need to find new barrels? How committed are the Majors to exploration?
African nations see oil, gas and coal as the fast-track way to improve energy access. But there is uncertainty about future demand, ESG and net zero ambitions.
A host of senior leaders joined our virtual Global Energy Summit last week to discuss the commodity supercycle, investment, business models and net zero
The oil and gas sector is back with a bang in the stock market this year, reversing the flow of capital towards low-carbon energy plays. Investors have found the surging cash flow and dividends irresistible.
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