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Oil refining's concerns over profitability, rationalisation, decarbonisation and EVs
The oil price has been on a bull run for over a year. Fundamentals are improving with oil demand bouncing back towards pre-pandemic highs as the global economy recovers. But OPEC+ is also playing a key role in rebalancing the market after the crisis of 2020. How much further could prices go?
Maximising value through the energy transition is a huge challenge for upstream. The Edge this week asks: how will strategies change? Is consolidation inevitable? And can the industry become more sustainable?
Green shoots of economic recovery are bursting through. Energy, metals and mining commodity markets have sensed it for months – witness the soaring prices of oil, LNG, iron ore, copper and many other metals. Is this a post-pandemic economic bounce or the start of a new supercycle?
What does a net-zero pathway mean for the oil and gas industry? As capital markets and an ever-widening stakeholder community demand clarity and action on decarbonisation, more of our customers are talking to us about how they should incorporate such scenarios into their planning.
COP26 has a week to put the world on a 2 °C or lower pathway. Simon Flowers highlights four must-haves that can make a Glasgow Agreement a gamechanger in tackling climate change.
What happens if COP26 doesn’t put the world on a 2 °C or lower pathway? Our latest Energy Transition Outlook explores what happens if COP26 fails to lay down the law on collective goals and actions to tackle climate change.
Are oil and gas companies doing enough to tackle climate change? The answer is almost certainly no, despite the earnest intentions of many companies.
Geothermal sits with hydrogen and CCS as a future energy play. Could EGS and AGS geothermal systems support our AET-1.5 and AET-2 projected electricity demand?
With the LNG market on fire, soaring gas prices deliver record earnings and cash flow. What challenges will the LNG industry face with the energy transition?
Big Oil is determined to show it’s part of the solution for climate change. How much has investment in new energy ramped up, where do CCS and hydrogen fit in, and when will spend on low carbon catch up with oil and gas?
The biggest win at COP26 was Article 6. So, how will the Glasgow Climate Pact change carbon markets? How will carbon offsets interact with carbon pricing regimes in future? And how high could carbon prices go?
What will shape the world of energy and natural resources in 2022? Simon Flowers picks five key themes, from the energy crisis to the metals supercycle, transition cost challenges, higher investment and the chances of US$100/bbl oil.
Upstream M&A is back with a bang. Are we witnessing the start of another cyclical boom in asset and corporate transactions? Or will it be different this time as the energy transition casts its shadow over the sector?
Europe's scramble to replace Russian gas has sent global prices through the roof. It's an opportunity for LNG suppliers but an extremely challenging market for utilities and traders.
High-impact exploration has kept a low profile over the last decade. Will the need for the global economy to diversify away from Russian oil and gas breathe new life into exploration?
Amidst the Russia/Ukraine conflict producers, traders, shippers, refiners and even consumers are all having to adapt to shifting crude and product flows – and pricing.
Is a 1.5 °C pathway feasible, does the conflict in Ukraine change anything and will higher prices affect the progress of the energy transition? Does energy security now trump decarbonisation?
Could the margin-boosting gains shrink under the pressure of supply chain challenges, and what can companies do to ensure their supply chain meets ESG requirements?
Big Oil’s future dividend machine?
What is the trajectory of oil demand in a world that’s decarbonising and how will that influence prices?
Our new Delayed Energy Transition scenario reflects the increasing risk that the transition will be much slower than a Paris-aligned pathway.
How to develop a low-carbon energy system and maximise revenue from a mature oil and gas province? Many countries face the challenge the UK is trying to deal with today. Its two main political parties have upped the ante on tax rates ahead of an election - and run the risk of stifling investment. How much investment is threatened? Is there a fiscal system that works for both upstream and low carbon? Can other countries learn from the UK?
A slower energy transition means higher demand for fossil fuels, heaping further pressure on oil and gas companies already battling to reduce their emissions. Carbon offsets can help.
The cancellation of NuScale's small modular nuclear reactor project in November cast a shadow over this nascent technology. Yet the project pipeline continues to build, reflecting the industry's belief that SMRs can be a gamechanger for nuclear. How big is the current pipeline? What is the potential scale of SMRs' contribution to net zero? Which countries and developers are leading the way? How much do costs need to come down?
Green hydrogen is expected to be the winner among the ever-widening hydrogen colour palette. Its potential for zero emissions is the attraction, assuming scaling up of this nascent industry delivers molecules that are cost-competitive. What factors could spoil green hydrogen's low-carbon credentials? Could blue hydrogen have lower carbon intensity than green? Are there solutions that green hydrogen developers can fix?
Can the rest of the world compete with China?
What does it all mean for the organic investment required to deliver the new supply to meet demand?
What opportunities, challenges and risks does the world of energy and natural resources face in 2024? Our experts share their thoughts.
The challenges in accelerating the energy transition
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