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A strong US Dollar means weak commodities. With the greenback at record highs, and commodities buoyant, is a reverse looming?
After two years of retrenchment, review how 2017 is shaping up to be a year of growth for tight oil.
We have raised our long-term estimates, now expecting volumes to rise from 4 million b/d currently to 10 million b/d by 2025 – 1.4 million b/d higher at peak than before.
Tight oil and shale gas, through LNG exports to Europe, are likely to be cap and collar in their respective markets for the next few years – tight oil setting the ceiling price, US gas the floor.
The downturn should be an opportunity for the Majors and perhaps NOCs to move into tight oil.
It’s a good sound bite at a time of low prices and high uncertainty, and a reassuring message to investors about risk appetite, but what does ‘managing for margin’ really mean?
With the M&A market showing signs of life and the value of the M&A being done rising, the time is ripe for buyers in the upstream market.
As other countries suffer production declines under the pressure of low oil prices, Russia is bucking the trend. What’s different about Russia?
The sharp response of the physical market to the arrival of cold weather suggests fundamentals are tight and prices could go higher, whether it’s a cold winter or not. There are four main reasons why.
Chief Analyst Simon Flowers sees three inter-related topics dominating our conversations with industry leaders: peak oil demand, decarbonisation, and whether US tight oil alone can meet oil demand growth.
Tight oil will drive a 4% increase in global upstream investment in 2017, while investment in conventional projects will be flat at just under US$340bn.
The mood has definitely changed. That much has been clear at the biannual Offshore Europe mega conference in Aberdeen.
Share price movements can be a good early indicator of changing fortunes. The oil and gas sector had a great month in September, jumping 8% and outperforming the broader global stock market by 6%. It’s more than just rotational buying.
Oil and gas companies are trying to balance playing a short game and a long game. The dominant strategic theme is strict capital discipline; higher risk investment is off the agenda.
Will oil demand growth recover in 2020? Is global supply still growing apace? How is US tight oil investment and production being affected by negative investor sentiment? Have the production cuts of 2019 balanced the market? Do they need to be extended or adjusted? Will fundamentals or geopolitics determine oil prices? We answer some of the big questions on OPEC’s agenda ahead of its December meeting in Vienna.
Big Oil’s risk appetite has changed. It needs to continue to replace reserves for the foreseeable future but is looking for lower risk options than exploration. Discovered resources can be part of the solution, though opportunities to develop a giant oil field such as Buzios in Brazil, in the heart of an industry hot spot, only come around once in a blue moon. So why the lack of bids from the Majors?
Bigger the Majors may be, but are the companies better placed to cope with future price uncertainty and the energy transition? Find out in this week's Edge.
How will the new IMO 2020 regulations affect the demand for different crudes? Will the refining industry cope with the change specification? Who will be the winners and losers among producers and refiners? Latest analysis here.
How is US tight oil performing in this febrile environment? Simon Flowers asks R.T. Dukes and his team of Lower 48 researchers.
The attack on Saudi Arabia’s oil infrastructure took out over 5% of global oil supply and temporarily pushed up prices by 20%. What does the attack say about the security of oil’s supply chain?
Three steps to tackling climate change
LNG is on track for prodigious growth in the next two decades. Is the traditional business model that’s worked for six decades fit for purpose? How should a 21st-century LNG player tool up to maximise value?
Upstream investment is set to rise for the third year in a row following the 2016 low, albeit at a modest, single-digit rate. Learn more about the sources of growth.
Dwindling spare OPEC capacity leaves market vulnerable to disruption. Learn more.
The world needs more LNG. But LNG has been synonymous with poor project management. Can the industry deliver future projects on time and on budget?
Aramco’s financials are enough to turn any CEO green with envy. Why has Aramco opened its books now, and what will it do with its wealth? Get our analysis here.
What makes some oil plays more valuable than others? The answer: big discoveries in excellent reservoirs that are cheap to exploit. Few places on earth do all three. Brazil does. Simon Flowers visits this global hotspot.
Oil and gas companies are back in the money. But radical change is needed to boost returns in the service sector, which faces challenges of investment levels, surplus capacity and disruption from new entrants. Simon Flowers investigates.
Where does the real value of digitalisation lie for the global upstream industry? Simon Flowers and Greig Aitken look at three areas where technology could have the greatest impact.
Not long ago, West Africa was at the top of the list for international E&P companies looking for high-impact growth.
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