Our energy transition scenarios to 2060

We've mapped out four distinct energy transition paths based on cross-sector, multi-commodity modelling

Base case

Our assessment of the most likely outcome, corresponding to 2.6˚C warming, under evolution of current policy and technology trends.

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Country pledges

Our view of how countries' existing long term emissions targets are achieved, roughly in line with a 2˚C warming trajectory.

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Net zero

A 1.5 °C by 2100 pathway, dependent on extraordinary levels of policy ambition, capital mobilisation and technological deployment.

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Delayed transition

A five-year delay in decarbonisation efforts due to geopolitical volatility and policy direction, with a 3.1 °C pathway.

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WEBINAR

Join our experts as they explore the energy transition outlook

Wood Mackenzie's panel of experts highlight key themes from this year's report and answer your questions in two live Q&A sessions: 

  • Thursday 20 November
  • Tuesday 25 November

Join us to hear more about how geopolitical forces are altering the path of the energy transition, the impact of the AI boom, energy transition tech to watch and more.