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With escalating Middle East tensions involving Iran, the geopolitical risks are high, yet oil, gas, and LNG market responses remain muted. How much production is at risk? What vulnerable infrastructure points could disrupt supply? Why has the price reaction been subdued compared to recent regional flashpoints?
Energy markets are in the midst of profound change – we're getting used to that. But what big, identifiable key risks might lurk in the shadows in the next 12 months that could make us change our view for 2020 and beyond? Here are five.
Big Oil’s risk appetite has changed. It needs to continue to replace reserves for the foreseeable future but is looking for lower risk options than exploration. Discovered resources can be part of the solution, though opportunities to develop a giant oil field such as Buzios in Brazil, in the heart of an industry hot spot, only come around once in a blue moon. So why the lack of bids from the Majors?
US tight oil has arrived with a bang, disrupting the oil market. But can conventional oil projects compete? Our latest report looks at where tight oil and other pre-FID conventional projects sit on the global cost curve.
A strong US Dollar means weak commodities. With the greenback at record highs, and commodities buoyant, is a reverse looming?
Chief Analyst Simon Flowers sees three inter-related topics dominating our conversations with industry leaders: peak oil demand, decarbonisation, and whether US tight oil alone can meet oil demand growth.
Climate policy, commodity prices and corporate strategies
The impact of Covid-19 on energy demand remains top of mind, but investors’ questions reveal a return to calm if not a return to “normal”
What falling gas and LNG prices mean for solar, wind and energy storage markets around the world in the short and long term.
When the US sneezes, China catches a cold or so they say. Certainly when the US decides to stack tariffs onto the price of imported Chinese goods, China’s economy, central to global economic growth, slows down. That’s already started to happen – even before the latest increase in tariffs starts to have an effect.
A strengthening flow of deals is a clear indicator that the M&A market is getting back to business as usual, and companies are starting to think of growth again.
Despite concerns about underinvestment in upstream, peak oil and gas demand can be met in the 2030s without a substantial increase to current annual asset development investment levels of US$500 billion in 2023 terms, according to a new Horizons report from Wood Mackenzie.
Democratic presidential challengers have pledged to end fracking. That’s not a realistic aim, but their commitments are still significant. Get the latest from Ed Crooks, Vice-Chairman, Americas.
Hurricanes are a fact of life in the Gulf of Mexico, and the energy industry has many decades of experience in managing the risks. But Hurricane Ida has been one of the most disruptive in recent years, and about 1.5 million barrels per day of US oil production is still offline. Increased rainfall and potentially higher wind speeds in future could further complicate the challenge of resilience.
Standout oil well performance in New Mexico, Saudi Aramco confirms its new dividend plan, the EU backs CCUS projects, the latest on superconductivity hopes, and more
The time is ripe for the world's major energy exporters to accelerate the energy transition, and mastering the hydrogen trade could make a difference, says Wood Mackenzie.
The recovery in crude prices, taking WTI to over $70 a barrel, has meant that the cash flows coming in to US E&Ps have been soaring. But the industry’s response to these price signals, in terms of increased activity and production, has been much more cautious than has been typical over the past decade. Management teams have talked about strengthening balance sheets and returning cash to shareholders, and now they are delivering on those commitments.
The evolving US tariff landscape is creating uncertainty across industries, especially in energy, with fluctuating import tariffs impacting global markets and forcing businesses to adapt.
And after the 12 months we’ve all just experienced, making bold predictions for the year ahead is more fraught than ever: nothing is off the table.
2022 could see rising carbon prices, greater distributed solar capacity, tighter supply chains for renewable energy and a double-digit market share for EVs.
Discover how Trump's new environmental policies could reshape energy infrastructure and accelerate project approvals across the US.
Congress and President Biden are at odds over possible new duties on modules imported from Southeast Asia
Like E&Ps, oilfield services companies are prioritising cash generation and distributions to shareholders. It could be a constraint on the industry's growth.
As businesses start to reopen in Europe and the US, fuel use has risen from its lows last month. But returning to pre-pandemic levels will take time.
When consumption plunged as the pandemic hit, there were claims that the world had passed Peak Demand for oil. As demand rebounds, those claims are set to be refuted and the price has jumped heavily for oil, gas and coal.
Excess capacity has sent solar panel prices tumbling. In the early 2010s, the stretch goal was to get the cost down to 50c a watt. Now they are selling in China for just 11c. That is great for solar deployment, but less good for manufacturers.
The US is sometimes thought to be immune to the impact of a steep rise in crude prices, because of the strength of its oil industry. But that view is an oversimplification. How might US E&Ps respond to disruption to global oil supplies?
Surging electricity demand for AI is prompting companies and banks to look at building new nuclear power plants in the US. Government support will still be needed.
Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris have set out sharply contrasting visions for energy, but a US administration’s ability to change the industry is limited.
When you need more transmission capacity to connect up wind and solar and data centres, but it’s hard to build new lines, innovative grid technologies could be the answer. The Biden administration is trying to break down barriers to deployment.
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