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Demand for oil, gas and power is recovering in China, but falling sharply in the rest of the world. The coronavirus pandemic has already had a profound impact on energy, with oil prices plunging and companies taking an axe to their capital spending plans. But the implications of the crisis are only just starting to emerge.
The firmer oil price we expect can only embolden the already resurgent US tight oil industry which is on course to displace the 1 million b/d OPEC has cut within the year. Three main aspects of the decision stand out.
How to sum up the effect on oil markets of OPEC’s strategy since 2014? Based on how the fundamentals have evolved, it's been a pretty mixed bag.
Arresting the explosive growth of US tight oil was a clear target of the price war after the OPEC+ meeting collapsed in March. What's been the effect on drilling and investment? How much will production fall and how quickly? Will tight oil recover and get back on a growth path? Find out more in this week's Edge.
Maximise opportunities across the hydrogen and ammonia value chain with Wood Mackenzie Lens Hydrogen. Identify, screen, and benchmark the hydrogen economy worldwide.
Landfill gas remains the most popular feedstock option for renewable gas production (LFG-to-RNG), but project pre-tax breakeven prices can range, with success relying heavily on location and scale, according to a new report from Wood Mackenzie.
Chevron announced first oil at the Anchor field in the US Gulf of Mexico deepwater, unlocking the potential for a considerable amount of new production.
Wood Mackenzie's short-term global gas and LNG outlook (Q2 2018) sees the market rebalancing as it moves from oversupply, although the global natural resources consultancy believes prices will remain relatively sustained into 2019.
Andy McConn, research analyst at Wood Mackenzie, shares his thoughts following Concho Resources announced acquisition of RSP Permian Inc. in an $8 billion all-share deal, the largest purely Permian deal ever.
Brazil's record oil auctions last year saw intense competition for some of the most prospective pre-salt offshore acreage. As operators prepare for this year’s pre-salt rounds, new research from Wood Mackenzie assesses whether aggressive bidding could risk destroying value and erode the economics of potential future discoveries.
A new cap on production from the Netherlands' giant Groningen gas field may have an impact on the security of Europe's gas supply, hurt Dutch treasury receipts and prompt a reassessment of the field's remaining value.
BP announced it made two discoveries on the UK Continental Shelf in 2017 - Capercaillie, in the North Sea, and Achmelvich, in the West of Shetland. Wood Mackenzie believes the finds prove there's still life in the ultra-mature province.
Higher base chemicals demand and feedstock security for heavy naphtha are driving the development of a new wave of mega-integrated refinery and chemical sites in China. Private Chinese chemical producers, including Hengli and Rong Sheng, are back-integrating their chemical plants with refineries by building mega-integrated facilities. Wood Mackenzie expects these projects to come on stream in the next 12 to 24 months.
What does the EU's agreement to buy US LNG - announced after a meeting between European Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker and US President Donald Trump - mean for producers and consumers?
BP has bought BHP Billiton's US Lower 48 assets in a $10.5 billion deal. Wood Mackenzie believes the deal will be transformative for BP.
A sizeable discovery is significant for Quadrant, whose private equity backers are looking to exit, and Carnarvon, which is a pure-play explorer. A standalone oil discovery is easier to monetise than gas, as it does not require LNG contracts or gas infrastructure.
India's oil demand is expected to grow by 3.5 million barrels per day (b/d) from 2017 to 2035, accounting for one-third of global oil demand growth. India's demand is driven by rising income levels, an expanding middle class and a growing need for mobility.
Permian producers increased their 2020 oil-basis hedge positions by 431% during Q2. Such a sharp rise suggests producers perceive a higher risk that key pipeline projects fail to start up by 2019 target dates, according Wood Mackenzie's latest analysis of oil and gas activity.
In the 12 months up until June 2018, China was the second largest buyer of US LNG, accounting for approximately 3 mmtpa of US LNG, with Shell being the largest seller. However as the US-China trade dispute escalated, Chinese buyers have gradually reduced purchases of US LNG.
Rig provider Transocean is set to merge with Ocean Rig in a $2.7 billion deal, a move Wood Mackenzie says is a winning one for the rig market.
US major Chevron has confirmed it is in talks to sell its 40% operating stake in the Rosebank field, offshore West of Shetland
The impact of the 2014 oil price collapse is still being felt across the upstream sector. Operators have cut investment, deferred projects and implemented tough cost discipline, slashing US$910 billion from global capital expenditure estimates for 2015-2020. While many operators believe the cuts will stick, a new survey released today by natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie indicates the pictured is more nuanced.
2018 looks set to be a brighter year for upstream oil and gas companies
OPEC and non-OPEC producers agree to extend production curbs through 2018
Wood Mackenzie forecasts that global oil and gas development spend needs to increase by around 20% to meet future demand growth and ensure companies sustain production next decade.
What next for the oil market as the US reimposes sanctions on Iran?
In the past 10 years, explorers in sub-Saharan Africa have turned up more giant discoveries than any other region. But converting volume into value is undoubtedly sub-Saharan Africa’s Achilles heel.
After a difficult few years, the exploration sector is back in the black – and keen to stay there. New analysis from Wood Mackenzie shows that explorers’ success in 2018 reflects a disciplined approach that’s set to continue this year.
The Lower 48 E&P sector is under pressure from investors demanding greater capital discipline, positive free cash flow and increasing returns. There’s a tug-of-war between value and volume, and value has emerged as the winner. The Lower 48’s independents, who traditionally pursued growth at all costs, must now rein in their impulses and focus on delivering returns to their shareholders. How does this affect their 2019 spending plans, and how do they manage volatile oil prices?
Following the announcement by Indonesia's upstream regulator SKK Migas on a gas discovery in the country, Wood Mackenzie's research director Andrew Harwood provides a commentary.
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