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Wood Mackenzie estimates LNG trucking capacity in China to double to 38 million tonnes (mt) by 2025. China is the world's largest LNG trucking market. In 2017, 19 mt of LNG was transported via tanker truck from domestic liquefaction plants and LNG import terminals to downstream markets. This volume accounts for 12% of total gas consumption.
In a recent study, Wood Mackenzie forecasts Australia's East Coast gas prices to rise up to 30 percent to between A$10 and A$13 /per gigajoule by the mid 2020s.
China's introduction of the '2+26' cities policy earlier this year calls for restricted use of coal for both residential heating and industrial purposes. This has significant ramifications for the Chinese winter season where demand is traditionally high. As an alternative to coal, gas demand could rise by 23 bcm this year compared to previous winters. Facing the most severe shortages is northern China, particularly Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei (abbreviated as BTH), where demand is highly seasonal. This region will make up half or 10 bcm of the incremental winter gas demand in 2017.
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