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Australia's general election is around the corner and Labor looks set for victory. Labor has announced its commitment to reduce Australia’s carbon emissions by 45% between 2005 and 2030, and to reach net-zero pollution by 2050. It has also proposed changes to existing mechanisms to lower energy and gas prices.
South Korea is unlikely to meet its 2030 renewables target, says Wood Mackenzie at a media briefing in Seoul today. According to the consultancy's analysis, renewables will account for about 17% of the country's power mix, a little shy of its original target.
India's first east coast regas project, Ennore LNG terminal, was commissioned yesterday by Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL). Wood Mackenzie's senior analyst Kaushik Chatterjee shares the significance of this project and how this marks the beginning of India doubling its regas capacity to 56.5 million metric tonnes per annum (mmtpa) by 2025.
New research from global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie indicates Asia-Pacific's offshore wind capacity will rise 20-fold to 43 GW in 2027.
After a decade of stellar growth, Wood Mackenzie forecasts that solar demand in the Asia-Pacific will decline for the first time this year. Compared to 2017, the region's solar demand will dip 18% to 59 GW in 2018 due to declining installations in China, India and Japan.
Looking at behind-the-meter, Australia was the biggest residential storage market in the world in 2017, with a tripling of residential storage deployments over the previous year. High retail electricity rates and diminishing or expiring feed-in tariffs have encouraged residential solar customers to choose storage for self-consumption benefits. As a result, over the past few years, Australia has been the preferred testbed for new residential energy storage products, as several technology vendors have first introduced their residential product portfolios in the country.
Wood Mackenzie estimates LNG trucking capacity in China to double to 38 million tonnes (mt) by 2025. China is the world's largest LNG trucking market. In 2017, 19 mt of LNG was transported via tanker truck from domestic liquefaction plants and LNG import terminals to downstream markets. This volume accounts for 12% of total gas consumption.
Under heavy subsidies from the government, China's electric vehicles (EV) market has grown exponentially to overtake the United States as the world's largest EV market. However with subsidies fading out in two years' time, the Chinese government and EV manufacturers are pressed for time to sustain the growth momentum in EVs. Wood Mackenzie's latest research reveals that China's proposed dual-credit scheme can reshape the EV market for a more sustainable development beyond the abolishment of subsidies in 2020. The EV penetration rate is projected to hit 17% in 2035 as a result.
Historically, coal has played a key role in meeting Asia's growing power demand. However environmental concerns has led to more stringent regulations and commitments towards tighter emission controls globally. Increasingly over the last year, financing institutions (mostly export credit agencies (ECAs) in OECD countries and European banks) have announced plans to stop investing in coal power projects. This could impact Asia since we expect growth in power demand through to 2035, and this calls for new power capacity, including coal-fired ones.
China's introduction of the '2+26' cities policy earlier this year calls for restricted use of coal for both residential heating and industrial purposes. This has significant ramifications for the Chinese winter season where demand is traditionally high. As an alternative to coal, gas demand could rise by 23 bcm this year compared to previous winters. Facing the most severe shortages is northern China, particularly Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei (abbreviated as BTH), where demand is highly seasonal. This region will make up half or 10 bcm of the incremental winter gas demand in 2017.
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