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Today China announced retaliatory tariffs on $60 billion worth of American imports, in response to the Trump administration's latest trade threats. The list included a 25% tariff on LNG.
Global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie sees OPEC maintaining its role as a key oil supplier through to 2040, although output from non-OPEC producers will help ensure adequate supply in the years to 2030.
Looking at behind-the-meter, Australia was the biggest residential storage market in the world in 2017, with a tripling of residential storage deployments over the previous year. High retail electricity rates and diminishing or expiring feed-in tariffs have encouraged residential solar customers to choose storage for self-consumption benefits. As a result, over the past few years, Australia has been the preferred testbed for new residential energy storage products, as several technology vendors have first introduced their residential product portfolios in the country.
Since the fall in oil prices in 2014, oil majors and international oil companies (IOCs) have accelerated a shift towards resource themes and regions offering higher returns, lower complexity and shorter timeframes, away from the more challenging regions such as Southeast Asia. To date, close to 800 million barrels of oil equivalent (boe) of the region's resources have left the hands of majors and IOCs.
Following China's imposition of retaliatory tariffs on US goods over the weekend, our experts weigh in on the potential impact the move will have on different commodities.
Wood Mackenzie estimates LNG trucking capacity in China to double to 38 million tonnes (mt) by 2025. China is the world's largest LNG trucking market. In 2017, 19 mt of LNG was transported via tanker truck from domestic liquefaction plants and LNG import terminals to downstream markets. This volume accounts for 12% of total gas consumption.
Shale gas in China has seen significant progress over the last decade, growing to nearly 600 wells and 9 bcm of production last year. In its latest analysis, Wood Mackenzie projects Chinese shale gas production to almost double to 17 bcm in 2020.
A new study by Wood Mackenzie, examines this shift in the oil market, and assesses the challenges and opportunities facing the market and US producers and midstream operators.
According to Wood Mackenzie's latest analysis, decommissioning Asia Pacific's offshore assets – nearly 2,600 platforms and 35,000 wells – could cost over US$100 billion.
Under heavy subsidies from the government, China's electric vehicles (EV) market has grown exponentially to overtake the United States as the world's largest EV market. However with subsidies fading out in two years' time, the Chinese government and EV manufacturers are pressed for time to sustain the growth momentum in EVs. Wood Mackenzie's latest research reveals that China's proposed dual-credit scheme can reshape the EV market for a more sustainable development beyond the abolishment of subsidies in 2020. The EV penetration rate is projected to hit 17% in 2035 as a result.
Historically, coal has played a key role in meeting Asia's growing power demand. However environmental concerns has led to more stringent regulations and commitments towards tighter emission controls globally. Increasingly over the last year, financing institutions (mostly export credit agencies (ECAs) in OECD countries and European banks) have announced plans to stop investing in coal power projects. This could impact Asia since we expect growth in power demand through to 2035, and this calls for new power capacity, including coal-fired ones.
The impact of the 2014 oil price collapse is still being felt across the upstream sector. Operators have cut investment, deferred projects and implemented tough cost discipline, slashing US$910 billion from global capital expenditure estimates for 2015-2020. While many operators believe the cuts will stick, a new survey released today by natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie indicates the pictured is more nuanced.
The sub region of South East Asia could potentially become a world leader in importing plastic waste, according to PCI Wood Mackenzie's 'RPET China Study – China Waste Import Ban 2017'.
OPEC and non-OPEC producers agree to extend production curbs through 2018
China's introduction of the '2+26' cities policy earlier this year calls for restricted use of coal for both residential heating and industrial purposes. This has significant ramifications for the Chinese winter season where demand is traditionally high. As an alternative to coal, gas demand could rise by 23 bcm this year compared to previous winters. Facing the most severe shortages is northern China, particularly Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei (abbreviated as BTH), where demand is highly seasonal. This region will make up half or 10 bcm of the incremental winter gas demand in 2017.
The Trump administration has been championing US energy exports as its preferred instrument for narrowing its trade deficit in the wake of the US shale boom. A combination of rising export capacity in the US, LNG import demand growth in China, and political cheerleading has underpinned an uptick in LNG exports to China this year via third party, spot trades. Will Trump's trip to Beijing seal the deal for some major LNG deals?
On Thursday 3 August China Shenhua and China Guodian Corporation submitted a merger proposal to the State Council. If approved the new company, National Energy Investment Corporation (NEIC), will become the world's largest power utility company (power capacity wise) ahead of EDF and Enel.
Many market observers were sceptical about China's ability to deal with aluminium overcapacity. But cuts at Weiqiao, the world's largest smelter, shows China's determination to deliver supply-side reforms. The market is now divided into two camps – one that believes China will cut output significantly. The other one reasons that smelters will ramp up quickly and nothing much will really change.
Chinese companies can now negotiate long-term contracts to source liquefied natural gas from US suppliers, the US Commerce Department said.
If Asia's largest upstream players want to grow production, Wood Mackenzie expects them to diversify into the US tight oil market.
According to research by Wood Mackenzie, the APAC upstream sector holds considerable value as the majors divest mature and mid-life assets in the region.
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