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2019 saw nearly 100GW of global wind turbine order capacity, shattering the previous record set in 2018, according to new analysis from Wood Mackenzie.
The next decade is set to deliver more of the same for solar PV, according to Wood Mackenzie.
Overall flexible packaging demand in Asia grew by 4.8% in 2019, down from 5.6% in 2018. This was mainly due to slower growth rates in major national markets, according to Wood Mackenzie.
The starting gun has sounded for the global storage market, which is set to grow from approximately 4GW of annual deployments in 2019 to more than 15GW in 2024, according to Wood Mackenzie.
Solar system prices will continue to drop over the next decade, driven by advances in module efficiency, manufacturing, labour practices and software, according to Wood Mackenzie.
2020 will see lead transition into a market surplus after several years of significant deficit, according to Wood Mackenzie.
The most important driver of the zinc market in 2020 will be the performance of the world’s zinc smelting industry, according to Wood Mackenzie.
All eyes will be on the Indonesian nickel market in 2020. The knives may be out for the country’s nascent stainless industry but the staggering potential for expansion in NPI may reduce the impact of the nickel ore export ban to a minor inconvenience. Although the global battery sector share of nickel demand is much smaller than other metals, getting the quantity of nickel that EVs will need by the mid-2020s will remain a challenge.
Gold is poised to perform strongly in 2020, with geopolitical risk set to remain elevated, according to Wood Mackenzie.
As we look to 2020, copper is faced with a finely balanced market. For now, positive investor sentiment around copper’s fundamentals is supporting higher prices.
Chinese steel demand will likely peak this year at 890 million tonnes, a growth of 1.5%, according to Wood Mackenzie. With China responsible for half of global steel demand, Chinese government policy remains core to Wood Mackenzie’s view.
In a recently published report, Wood Mackenzie predicts the start of a downcycle in China’s petrochemical industry. A supply overhang has already hit the country’s paraxylene (PX) market, with olefins and polyolefins markets almost certain to face the same.
In Q3 2019, Tesla announced its plans to capture 1% of all car sales globally. With its current portfolio of luxury cars, the company is unlikely to meet that target by the end of the decade. However, if it launches an entry-level car priced at $25,000, Wood Mackenzie projects that Tesla will meet the 1% target as early as 2024.
The level of uncertainty and anxiety among upstream producers and supply chain has rarely been higher. In 2020, decision-making will be more heavily influenced by sentiment surrounding the energy transition, political upheaval and trade disputes than in previous years. This adds to the ever-present risks of unexpected supply-demand imbalance, niche cost inflation or a global economic downturn. What are the biggest trends to watch in the upstream oil and gas business in 2020? Fraser McKay, head of upstream analysis at Wood Mackenzie, sees five key themes.
Chinese polyester market growth is expected to sit at just below 3% in 2020, a marked decline from the strong growth seen between 2018 and 2019. This dip in performance is mainly due to slashed growth for bottle-grade PET, according to Wood Mackenzie.
The gas transit and supply contracts between Russia and Ukraine expire at 10 am on 1 January 2020 (Moscow time) – the future of Ukraine transit remains the largest uncertainty for global gas markets in 2020. Murray Douglas, director, European gas at global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie, said: “Ukraine remains the major transit route for Russian gas into Europe – over 76 billion cubic metres (cm) will be transported via Ukraine this year."
Wood Mackenzie has identified five themes related to project sanctions, exploration, M&A, energy transition and IMO 2020 that will impact Asia Pacific’s upstream industry in 2020.
According to a new report by Wood Mackenzie, China’s wind repowering market is expected to take off from 2023. More than 21 gigawatts (GW) (cumulative capacity) of China’s wind turbine fleet is expected to be repowered over the next 10 years (2019-2028).
Project cancellations and delays connecting planned projects to the electric grid will lead the US microgrid market to contract 17% from its 2018 peak by the end of this year, according to new research from Wood Mackenzie.
Chevron has given the green light to the Anchor development in deepwater US Gulf of Mexico. This is Chevron’s first greenfield final investment decision as an operator since its sanction of Big Foot and Jack/St Malo in 2010.
2019 has been a year of successes within the recycled PET (RPET) industry.
Installers have already shared anecdotes about growing residential storage volumes in California, and Wood Mackenzie expects a large uptick early next year as marketing efforts for solar-plus-storage started earlier this year bear fruit.
In the latest Australia east coast gas market research, Wood Mackenzie projects that the LNG netback price for Australia’s east coast could bottom out to A$6.50 – A$9 per gigajoule (GJ) over the next two years.
After a decade of fragmentation, the top five global turbine OEMs are strengthening their hold on the industry. By 2028, they are expected to control three quarters of the sector.
More than $350 million was invested in advanced lithium-ion technologies during the first half of 2019.
The global Biaxially Oriented Polypropylene (BOPP) film market has seen demand grow by just under 5% per annum over the last five years. The main driver of growth has been the demand for flexible packaging, particularly in China and South East Asia, according to Wood Mackenzie’s latest ‘BOPP Film Global Supply Demand Report’.
Green hydrogen production can compete with fossil fuel-based hydrogen by 2030 in Australia, Germany and Japan, should renewable power prices reach US$30 per megawatt hour (MWh), new research from global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie indicates.
New research from Wood Mackenzie indicates that the creation of a national pipeline company in China is a step in the right direction but will result in higher end-user prices in the short-term as the country tries to balance institutional reform with implementation risks.
According to Wood Mackenzie’s inaugural global solar photovoltaic (PV) asset ownership ranking (excluding China)*, the world’s top 10 solar PV asset owners now hold over 22 gigawatts (GW) of cumulative solar capacity. Collectively, the top 10 added around 2.5 GW of new capacity in 2018.
An auction-triggered awakening in Poland and a growing confidence in developers' ability to comply with local content requirements in Russia led to a 17% wind power capacity increase QoQ in Eastern Europe and Russia, according to new research from Wood Mackenzie.
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