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What would it take to make Nigeria's oil industry competitive again? Simon Flowers investigates.
Despite strong financial performance for the 48 IOCs and NOCs covered in our Corporate Service this year, investment activity is weak. Simon Flowers and Norman Valentine discuss.
The industry isn’t finding enough oil. We need more Guyanas, a lot more, and we need them soon. Without them, the oil market is in danger of tightening in the not too distant future.
The discovery of a major new oil play like Guyana instils a sense of wonder in we oil industry devotees. What’s the story? How big could it be? Will it change the oil market? Simon takes on these questions and more.
US tight oil's growth prospects are attracting the attention of any number of upstream companies. But new entrants need to go in with their eyes wide open - it's a very different business model to conventional E&P. In Part 2 of our assessment of buying into tight oil we look at the technical, logistical and valuation pitfalls.
The biggest lottery prize of 2018? A contender is the windfall oil and gas companies find drops into their bank account.
Exploration is staging a remarkable turnaround in its fortunes, with a string of big discoveries in recent months. Many of these look to be potentially commercial, a sign that the industry can still create value.
Not long ago, Egypt’s gas industry was in crisis. Production fell by a third in the three years to 2015. A top ten LNG exporter in the prior decade, the country had, by then, become a top ten importer.
Investment is making a comeback. Much of the action, as ever, is in the US Lower 48, with operators responding to higher prices by upping 2018 budgets by 15-20%. But there’s stuff happening, too, in the big wide world beyond onshore USA.
How much new oil does the world need over the next decade? Where are the competitive plays? What are the economic breakeven prices? Our chief analyst, Simon Flowers, explores in the latest edition of The Edge.
Delivering production growth after three years of low oil prices is an achievement, and combined with higher oil prices, was the primary factor behind good upstream earnings.
A teenage growth spurt – US onshore liquids production is on a tear again. Already rebounding from the downturn for a year, right now it’s turbo-charged.
Obstacles to M&A have abounded these last three years. Money’s been tight, and for many companies acquisitive growth wasn’t needed after a period of heavy of investment earlier in the decade.
Visiting Asia this month was an opportunity to gauge how oil and gas companies there are faring.
Why feeding the dog can undermine trust in the oil industry
Low oil prices, severe financial stretch, even moments of existential contemplation – it’s hardly been the right environment for successful business development.
US tight oil’s second phase of growth is well underway. We expect tight oil production to double from 4.7 million b/d today to around 9.5 million b/d in the mid-2020s – and our view is by no means the most bullish.
If the demand side of the equation is relatively predictable, oil supply is notoriously difficult. Many of the market’s most colourful moments through history have revolved around supply, with OPEC at the centre of most in the last six decades.
Is the oil industry on its way to recovery? Sanctioned projects are smaller and cheaper, while US tight oil buffers the decline in conventional spend.
The biggest current recruiter in upstream? Digitalisation, by a distance. Technology is already playing a part in downstream’s recovery from its lows a few years ago.
New thinking and new ways are needed if operators are to usher in a new era of investment in conventional projects. A dip in oil prices below US$50/bbl may be just what’s needed to concentrate minds and encourage companies to challenge industry conventions.
Andrew Latham, our Head of Exploration Research, has built a global creaming curve for conventional exploration outside the USL48. Three themes stand out.
The firmer oil price we expect can only embolden the already resurgent US tight oil industry which is on course to displace the 1 million b/d OPEC has cut within the year. Three main aspects of the decision stand out.
‘Underwhelmed’ sums up investors’ indifferent response to the Majors’ Q1 results. What does upstream have to do to win back favour?
Why have oil prices come under renewed downward pressure? Our Macro Oils team, led by Ed Rawle, sees three main reasons.
Canada's investor sentiment soured by environmental concerns and competition for capital from tight oil have already begun to reshape the domestic corporate landscape.
Not long ago, growth was the big thing. This results season suggests growth targets are making a come back.
If oil markets remain oversupplied and prices modest, there’s much Upstream operators can learn from Downstream, which has emerged thriving from the doldrums of a decade ago.
Despite the uptick in numbers, investment in greenfield conventional projects is stuck at a low ebb.
Digital technology has a major part to play in the next stage of structural cost reduction, but oil and gas production is far removed from the leading edge of the 21st century tech revolution.
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