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The IMO is gearing up to cap sulphur emissions. Wood Mackenzie looks at the potential impact the new regulations could have on the shipping and bunker fuel sectors.
Brazil's Round 15 closed today, 29 March 2018, with the award of roughly half of the offshore blocks on offer. The round occurred six months following the closing of rounds 14 and 3 PSC last year, continuing the country's aggressive licensing push.
Analysis of global oil cost curves indicates that many conventional pre-FID projects – even deepwater developments - are now competitive on a breakeven basis with US Lower 48 tight oil. However, this competitiveness has come at the expense of volumes. The trade-off of cost efficiency versus volumes means that in the medium- to long-term, the cost of supply is set to increase, highlighting the US Lower 48’s role as an important marginal barrel producer.
According to Wood Mackenzie's latest analysis, decommissioning Asia Pacific's offshore assets – nearly 2,600 platforms and 35,000 wells – could cost over US$100 billion.
Driven by an impressive array of licensing and farm-in opportunities, plus an upsurge in exploration activity, Latin America’s upstream sector is poised for a banner year in 2018, according to a new insight by Wood Mackenzie, Latin America Upstream: What to look for in 2018.
Under heavy subsidies from the government, China's electric vehicles (EV) market has grown exponentially to overtake the United States as the world's largest EV market. However with subsidies fading out in two years' time, the Chinese government and EV manufacturers are pressed for time to sustain the growth momentum in EVs. Wood Mackenzie's latest research reveals that China's proposed dual-credit scheme can reshape the EV market for a more sustainable development beyond the abolishment of subsidies in 2020. The EV penetration rate is projected to hit 17% in 2035 as a result.
The year 2018 will be recorded as the "transition year" for the polyethylene industry. Widely anticipated North American polyethylene resin will hit the global markets, China's ban on importing scrap plastic will challenge the prevailing trends, and new tax structures in the United States and India will show its full impact on the plastic industry.
The U.S. deepwater Gulf of Mexico sector has struggled since crude dropped in late 2014. However, as costs finally settle at a bottom and operators set a new standard for operational efficiency, 2018 might just be a turning point for the sector.
The sub region of South East Asia could potentially become a world leader in importing plastic waste, according to PCI Wood Mackenzie's 'RPET China Study – China Waste Import Ban 2017'.
Hedging activity surged in Q3 2017 as oil producers rushed to lock in rising prices for future production, according to Wood Mackenzie's latest analysis of oil and gas hedging activity.
China's introduction of the '2+26' cities policy earlier this year calls for restricted use of coal for both residential heating and industrial purposes. This has significant ramifications for the Chinese winter season where demand is traditionally high. As an alternative to coal, gas demand could rise by 23 bcm this year compared to previous winters. Facing the most severe shortages is northern China, particularly Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei (abbreviated as BTH), where demand is highly seasonal. This region will make up half or 10 bcm of the incremental winter gas demand in 2017.
TransCanada receives regulatory approval from the Nebraska Public Service Commission to proceed with building its Keystone XL pipeline after almost a decade of environmental and regulatory hurdles.
The introduction of India's Goods and Services Tax (GST) has lifted oil demand in the country this year. Crude oil, natural gas, diesel and gasoline are currently exempt from the GST. However, diesel and gasoline demand are indirectly affected by the impact of GST on vehicle prices and sales, especially in the logistics sector.
The Trump administration has been championing US energy exports as its preferred instrument for narrowing its trade deficit in the wake of the US shale boom. A combination of rising export capacity in the US, LNG import demand growth in China, and political cheerleading has underpinned an uptick in LNG exports to China this year via third party, spot trades. Will Trump's trip to Beijing seal the deal for some major LNG deals?
Libya's oil production has increased steeply from August 2016’s low point of below 300,000 barrels per day (b/d) to around 850,000 b/d at present, passing the 1 million b/d barrier in July. But Wood Mackenzie believes Libya may now be reaching its near-term production limits and future growth will be gradual.
Following ExxonMobil's (NYSE: XOM) announcement this morning of its fifth new oil discovery after drilling the Turbot-1 well offshore Guyana, Pablo Medina, Wood Mackenzie's senior analyst, Latin America Upstream has the following comments.
Renewable energy sources are set to radically reshape global energy markets. For the Majors, this poses a threat to legacy oil and gas operations, but is also an opportunity to diversify and future-proof portfolios.
Following the announcement this morning that Talos energy and its partners Premier Oil and Sierra Oil & Gas have made a discovery at Zama-1, drilled in Block 7 offshore Mexico, please find below initial comment from Pablo Medina, Wood Mackenzie's senior analyst, Latin America Upstream.
Technology has played a huge role in the rapid rise of production in the Permian. Operators are bullish on the region's long-term potential and poised to exploit the Permian at an unparalleled pace over the next few years. However, according to a report by Wood Mackenzie, Geology vs. technology: how sustainable is Permian tight oil growth?, geological constraints that may arise as the play is aggressively developed could lead to production shortfalls, and in turn, higher prices early next decade.
Italian major Eni announced today it has taken a final investment decision (FID) on the Coral floating liquefied natural gas development (FLNG), offshore Mozambique.
In celebration of ASEAN's 50th anniversary, our APAC gas and power senior analyst, Edi Saputra, reflects on ASEAN's energy developments and what to look out for in the coming years
Commenting on BHP Billiton's plans to divest its U.S shale unit, Jon Weintraub, research analyst at Wood Mackenzie, said: "BHP's announced divesture of its onshore U.S. business is a pretty momentous step-change in its corporate strategy and marks the culmination of its push to be a major shale player. We expect to see all options being considered with a substantial amount of interest from multiple pools of buyers."
Singapore –listed E&P company KrisEnergy today signed fiscal and technical agreements with the Royal Government of Cambodia for the Block A Apsara oil development.
Any further tension or missile launches from North Korea could potentially impact its neighbours who are the world's largest energy importers.
On Thursday 3 August China Shenhua and China Guodian Corporation submitted a merger proposal to the State Council. If approved the new company, National Energy Investment Corporation (NEIC), will become the world's largest power utility company (power capacity wise) ahead of EDF and Enel.
A joint research report conducted by Wood Mackenzie and GTM Research assessing generation economics concludes that declining renewables and energy storage costs will increasingly squeeze out gas-fired generation in South Australia as early as 2025.
We took a closer look at the impact of the UK government’s proposal to ban the sale of new petrol and diesel cars by 2040.
To gauge the state of the sector, Wood Mackenzie asked its client base to share their thoughts on a number of key themes, and the responses were analysed to give a comprehensive view of how the sector’s key players view the future.
If Asia's largest upstream players want to grow production, Wood Mackenzie expects them to diversify into the US tight oil market.
The seven most advanced developments are expected to see production increases of 43% in 2017.
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