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A healthy crop of oil and gas projects are up for FID in 2021. If they go ahead, the spend could reverse the downward trend in upstream investment. But sanctioning new projects is getting harder.
Batteries are going to play a big part in achieving net-zero ambitions. Once batteries are cheap enough and deliver sufficient range, they open the door for EVs to disrupt the ICE market. When will battery costs fall enough for EVs to compete head on? And is there enough supply of key battery metals to meet the higher demand?
Offshore wind is at the forefront of the Euro Majors' new energy strategies. It's a proven technology, ready for scaling up – and the latest UK permits show the competition for projects is heating up. How big could it be for Big Oil?
Led by Asia, and with vaccine roll-out underway, global economic growth should bounce back strong in 2021. It sets the scene for a much better year in commodity markets. But do surging oil, gas and metals prices point to something more lasting?
If ambitions on climate change are high, so, too, will be the cost. We reckon a bare minimum of US$30 trillion to US$40 trillion of investment is needed to put the world on a 2 °C or lower pathway. Where’s the money going to come from? I chatted to Prakash Sharma and Jonny Sultoon of our Energy Transition team and Peter Martin, Head of Economics.
We hosted the CEOs from Shell, Total, Eni and SSE as well as senior executives from numerous other leading oil and gas companies and utilities over three days at our EMEA Energy Summit. So what were the hot topics?
Alongside climate change, the rising tide of environmental waste, plastic included, is society’s other sustainability challenge. Simon Flowers asked Guy Bailey and his Petrochemicals Research team how we can get on top of the problem.
Exploration spend is heading south again as companies slash budgets to conserve cash. This downcycle though is different, with companies formulating decarbonisation strategies and peak oil demand on the horizon. Is exploration now facing an existential crisis?
How resilient are the Majors' upstream portfolios? Which Majors lead on resilience metrics? How do companies build resilience into portfolios? Find out in this week's Edge.
Speaking after French major Total announced it planned to buy a 50% stake in Indian company Adani Green Energy’s solar unit, Tom Heggarty, principal analyst with Wood Mackenzie’s Energy Transition Practice, said: “Total has been extremely active in the power and renewables M&A market as it seeks to diversify its activities and grow its exposure to the zero-carbon power sector."
This year may prove to be a strong one for the refining sector, but 2020 has had a difficult start. Wood Mackenzie expects some turbulence this year as a number of factors come together – geopolitical risk, the impact of IMO 2020 regulations, and US tight oil production slowing, among them.
On 19 January, China's National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Ecology and Environment announced policies aimed at restricting production, sale, and use of single-use plastic products.
Slower demand growth (especially in China) and a decent recovery in seaborne supply will continue to feature prominently in the iron ore industry in 2020. Prices will fall, with annual average price forecast for 2020 at $80/t.
Wood Mackenzie's Gavin Thompson provides a commentary on the US-China Phase One trade deal
Volkswagen has pledged to become carbon-neutral by 2050. Included in its roadmap for reaching this target is a plan to manufacture 22 million electric vehicles by 2028. Wood Mackenzie expects the company to miss this target. However, according to Wood Mackenzie's analysis, VW will hit 14 million EVs by 2028 - making it the world's largest EV manufacturer by the end of the decade.
OPEC+ gathers today and tomorrow to decide if the group should roll over its production restraint agreement or consider deeper cuts. The current agreement to reduce output by 1.2 million b/d runs to end March 2020. Ann-Louise Hittle, vice president, Macro Oils, said: “The idea of deeper cuts has been broached, but we consider that less likely to reach full agreement than a rollover of the standing agreement. The need for production restraint is clear. Slower US production growth is not enough to offset the ongoing imbalance between global supply and demand.”
Wood Mackenzie’s latest report reveals that LNG sellers with contracts linked to JCC (Japan Crude Cocktail) could lose some US$15 billion in unearned revenues. This is a result of the IMO 2020 regulation limiting sulphur content of marine fuels to up to 0.5%, which directly affects the price of sour crudes such as those composing the JCC mix. The IMO 2020 kicks in on 1st January 2020.
The energy transition is undoubtedly impacting corporate upstream strategies in significant and disruptive ways. Coupled with the post-2014 downturn in oil prices, Wood Mackenzie sees seismic changes in the way the industry allocates capital across development, exploration and in particular M&A.
Total announced today its partnership with Adani Group which includes two LNG terminals, Dhamra in East India and potentially Mundra in the West, as well as Adani Gas Limited, one of the 4 main distributors of city gas in India of which Adani holds 74.8% and of which Total will acquire 37.4%.
Santos announced today its plans to acquire ConocoPhillips’s northern Australian portfolio. This is a logical and attractive transaction for a number of reasons.
Natural resources research and consultancy Wood Mackenzie launches the world’s first Global Upstream Valuation solution, enabling organisations from the largest oil and gas companies to global banks to value assets around the globe in seconds.
Wood Mackenzie has identified the five most likely disposal candidates after ExxonMobil signalled the start of its Asia Pacific divestment programme. Together, these opportunities are worth US$5 billion, and could contribute a third of the Supermajor's global divestment target.
In 2017 Technip and FMC Technologies completed one of the hallmark oilfield service company mergers of the cycle. The business plans to split in the first half of 2020 – but not back into Technip and FMC - rather into ‘upstream’ and ‘mid/downstream’.
Wood Mackenzie believes that discovering new value requires going beyond isolated datasets. The solution lies in data consortiums – cooperative platforms where companies can safely share quality data.
Shockwaves from Tsingshan's new stainless steel hub in Indonesia are reverberating across South East Asia and beyond, according to Wood Mackenzie
According to research by Wood Mackenzie, Chinese textile producers are increasing production as fears grow that the trade war with the US will hurt exports of apparel and other textile products as soon as the fourth quarter of 2019.
Arctic LNG-2 is a step closer to final investment decision (FID) with the entry of Japanese companies Mitsui and government-linked Japan Oil, Gas and Metals National Corporation (JOGMEC) into the project.
After a decade of fragmentation, the top 5 turbine OEMs have reached industry consolidation. Key global players are expected to surpass a combined market share of 68% by 2020, up from 47% 5 years ago, according to recent research from Wood Mackenzie Power & Renewables.
Wood Mackenzie senior analyst Daniel Toleman shares his thoughts on the event of Prelude's first LNG cargo.
Following PM Scott Morrison's win in the recent 2019 Australia election, Wood Mackenzie and Verisk Maplecroft analysts share their thoughts.
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