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Simon Flowers looks at what tight oil has in common with top tech stocks.
The US’s premier tight oil play has been the beating heart of industry activity these last few years. Soaring rig numbers, prolific production growth and the gravitational pull of a black hole when it comes to M&A. US L48 tight oil accounted for one-third of global upstream M&A spend in the last three years, with the Permian attracting US$2 out of every US$3 of that. But have we now passed peak Permania? Simon Flowers investigates.
Global targets and societal pressure are driving innovation, but are we doing enough? Simon Flowers investigates.
Is US shale the paragon of upstream productivity it’s cracked up to be? As the marginal suppliers, shale gas and tight oil operators ought to be adept at managing for margin and all that’s about. Simon Flowers investigates.
What do Total, BP, Eni, CNPC, Sinopec Group have in common? Each is among the biggest oil and gas producers in the world, with a portfolio diversified geographically and across multiple resource themes.
The maths supports a bearish view for the next three years, based on our latest long-term outlook. We forecast LNG supply to increase by over 30% by 2020 as US, Australian and Russian projects crank up.
Fresh from a dismal round of Q4 2016 earnings, replete with weak earnings and balance sheet write downs, come new, raised growth targets from a number of the industry’s biggest players.
Our Energy view to 2035, led by Paul McConnell of our Global Trends team, distils the work of our team of analysts working across energy commodities. Five main themes leap out.
Business development teams are back in the front line as companies look to position for longer term growth.
An ‘America First’ energy policy is meant to be great news for US producers, but will these moves boost investment and company behaviour as much as the administration hopes?
We have raised our long-term estimates, now expecting volumes to rise from 4 million b/d currently to 10 million b/d by 2025 – 1.4 million b/d higher at peak than before.
Tight oil and shale gas, through LNG exports to Europe, are likely to be cap and collar in their respective markets for the next few years – tight oil setting the ceiling price, US gas the floor.
The downturn should be an opportunity for the Majors and perhaps NOCs to move into tight oil.
It’s a good sound bite at a time of low prices and high uncertainty, and a reassuring message to investors about risk appetite, but what does ‘managing for margin’ really mean?
With the M&A market showing signs of life and the value of the M&A being done rising, the time is ripe for buyers in the upstream market.
The sharp response of the physical market to the arrival of cold weather suggests fundamentals are tight and prices could go higher, whether it’s a cold winter or not. There are four main reasons why.
How developers can be more competitive
Oil and gas companies are trying to balance playing a short game and a long game. The dominant strategic theme is strict capital discipline; higher risk investment is off the agenda.
Big Oil is rebalancing. Discover how strategy shifts, energy security and policy are reshaping oil, gas and low-carbon investment outlooks across the Atlantic.
Could Iran Sanctions See Brent Spike to U.S.$100 a barrel? The oil market faces a precarious few months. The imposition of U.S. secondary sanctions on Iranian exports on November 5 is the critical factor behind Brent’s rally to more than U.S.$80 a barrel in October. There’s enough supply to meet demand this winter, but the margin for error is worryingly narrow.
A strong US Dollar means weak commodities. With the greenback at record highs, and commodities buoyant, is a reverse looming?
Discover why US gas producers are poised for gains as Henry Hub prices surge, and what it means for Big Oil's investment strategies
Tight oil has garnered all the plaudits in the last few months, but we can foresee in the not too distant future green field deep water projects giving tight oil a run for its money in competing for capital.
After two years of retrenchment, review how 2017 is shaping up to be a year of growth for tight oil.
What’s the most unexpected outcome three years on from the price crash? There are a few contenders. OPEC’s zealous adherence to production restraint is right up there. US tight oil is another, briefly inconvenienced by low prices but now embarking on a second great phase of growth.
US Lower 48 Independents’ finances are looking rosier as capital discipline and higher oil prices work their magic. Will a cash flow bonanza lead to more drilling?
We've had the best year for the oil and gas industry for some time: KPIs have turned positive. Brent looks set to end 2017 over US$60/bbl, up 40% from the summer lows.
Share price movements can be a good early indicator of changing fortunes. The oil and gas sector had a great month in September, jumping 8% and outperforming the broader global stock market by 6%. It’s more than just rotational buying.
Government starts pulling the levers to bolster the economy
Have we passed 'peak growth' for tight oil? What are the implications of slowing growth for the crude market? And how will pipeline owners adapt their strategies? Find out in this week's Edge.
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