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Shell has started a process to divest all of its operated joint venture licences held by the Shell Petroleum Development Company (SPDC) in Nigeria. This includes a 30% interest in 19 Oil Mining Leases (OMLs). Gail Anderson, Research Director with Wood Mackenzie’s Sub-Sahara Africa upstream team, said: “There is considerable value upside across the joint venture assets, which bidders will need to carefully evaluate and quantify.”
Speaking after the Petroleum Industry Bill (PIB) was passed by the Nigerian National Assembly on 1 July, Mansur Mohammed, head of West Africa content on Wood Mackenzie’s sub-Saharan Africa upstream research team, said: “The Senate and House each passed different versions of the bill, which will now require reconciliation before it is sent to the president for assent into law. So there is still outstanding work to do before the PIB becomes law, but we see momentum behind the bill.”
OPEC+ today (6 June 2020) agreed a one-month extension of the 9.7 million barrels per day (b/d) production cut. The extension will tighten the market further and could see Brent prices rise from the current $40/bbl toward $45-to-$50/bbl.
Since OPEC+’s failure to agree on production restraint on 5-6 March, the implications of the Covid-19 pandemic have become far clearer, sparking a crisis in the oil market as prices fell and supply ramped up. The problem for these producers is the scale of the fall in oil demand, especially during April and forecast for Q2 2020. No matter the size of the varying forecasts, they all point to a challenging market that puts pressure on storage space and prices.
The oil price crash has hit the upstream sector hard. Deep cuts are being made across the board, but it will have a dramatic impact on the industry’s project pipeline. Global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie believes almost all pre-FID projects will be deferred. Of the 50+ projects we identified with potential to go ahead this year, only 10 have a chance of proceeding, but all are at risk.
Survival mode has returned to the oil and gas sector as the oil price rout deepens. Corporate financials are in better shape than during the 2014/2015 crash, but room for manoeuvre is limited. Can companies cope with prices this low?
The U.S has increased tariffs on $200bn of Chinese goods to 25%, from 10%, impacting a number of metals. Commentary below comes from the Wood Mackenzie metals team:
Sanctioning the Tortue FLNG project, offshore Mauritania/Senegal is a 'major milestone' for BP and its partners
In the past 10 years, explorers in sub-Saharan Africa have turned up more giant discoveries than any other region. But converting volume into value is undoubtedly sub-Saharan Africa’s Achilles heel.
Italian major Eni announced today it has taken a final investment decision (FID) on the Coral floating liquefied natural gas development (FLNG), offshore Mozambique.
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